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The main contract of industrial silicon rose by more than 3% and is now quoted at 8,995 yuan/ton.On September 15, the overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; the 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; the 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; the January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; and the March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.According to futures data on September 15, overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.On September 15th, Pop Mart (09992.HK) plunged nearly 9% on Monday, its biggest drop since April, hitting its lowest level in over a month, after JPMorgan Chase downgraded its rating to neutral, citing a "lack of catalysts and unattractive valuation." This followed social media posts pointing to weak demand for its new "SKULLPANDA" product, and JPMorgans downgrade heightened market concerns about waning popularity. JPMorgan analysts Kevin Yin and others stated in a report: "Current valuations already reflect perfect expectations. Any minor fundamental disappointment or negative media coverage (such as falling pre-owned prices or third-party licensing issues) could trigger a share price decline." Although the stock has still risen over 180% this year, its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is now close to 23 times.On September 15th, the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but uncertainty remained about the direction of the policy once it was implemented. Marc Giannoni, Barclays chief US economist, stated that with inflation remaining subdued, the FOMC will judge that downside risks to achieving its employment goals are increasing. He added that the Feds economic projections remained largely unchanged, but the dot plot indicated three rate cuts (each 25 basis points) this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term interest rate forecast remained unchanged at 3.0%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Running Out of Momentum

Steven Zhao

Oct 28, 2022 15:41


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During the trading session on Thursday, the S&P 500 E-mini contract fluctuated back and forth as it seemed that momentum was beginning to wane. As we ended up producing a significant shooting star during the previous session, the market is now expected to continue to receive a lot of inquiries regarding the probable direction of the stock market. It's probable that we will keep moving down and that the long-term downtrend will continue if we break back down below the 50-Day EMA. I would anticipate losing 3800 at that time and moving on to the 3600 level.


On the other hand, it's possible that the upside will be challenged further into the 4000 level if we were to break above the top of the shooting star from the Wednesday session.


However, I do believe that this is a situation where you should be looking for shorting opportunities as the Federal Reserve will have to continue tightening monetary policy. Of course, there is also the possibility that the market could receive a shock next week as the Federal Reserve returns to the scene with its monetary policy statement and of course the press conference that follows.


Wall Street continues to believe that the Federal Reserve will save it, despite the fact that the Fed has repeatedly said that it wants lower stock prices and to reduce demand.

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