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The European Union is investigating whether Googles website reputation policies have harmed the interests of publishers.German government: German Chancellor Merz spoke by phone with Ukrainian President Zelensky.November 13th - Weaker-than-expected UK economic growth data on Thursday, coupled with the potential for impending fiscal austerity, should solidify the pounds downward trend. According to a Wall Street Journal survey of economists, the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the third quarter, below the expected 0.2%. Analysts at Monex Europe stated that these figures are released ahead of the budget on November 26th, when fiscal austerity measures, including tax increases, are expected. We anticipate that the pound will remain under pressure in the short term as the market digests the rising risks to the UK outlook.On November 13th, oil prices remained range-bound in afternoon trading as traders weighed concerns about oversupply against shrinking OPEC+ spare capacity and risks from Russian sanctions. Saxo Bank analysts stated, "The near-term outlook continues to show weakness, primarily due to ample supply and weak seasonal demand, but the long-term outlook has become more constructive due to a significant shift by the International Energy Agency (IEA)." The IEA, in its annual World Energy Outlook report, revived a scenario where global oil consumption will continue to grow until 2050 under current policies. However, Saxo Bank analysts noted that the IEA also forecasts a larger surplus this year, while OPEC revised its third-quarter estimates, stating that supply exceeded demand—a move widely interpreted as confirmation that the long-awaited oversupply has arrived.November 13th - Weaker-than-expected UK GDP data released on Thursday contradicted recent confidence indicators and consumer confidence surveys. Jonathon Marchant, an analyst at Mattioli Woods, stated in a report that the UK economy contracted by 0.1% in September, weaker than the 0.1% consensus growth predicted in a Wall Street Journal survey of economists. In contrast, the UK services PMI improved to 52.2 in October, up from 50.1 in September. He said, "This disconnect between these forward-looking survey indicators and actual output raises questions about the transmission of sentiment to tangible economic activity and suggests pre-budget vulnerability."

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Recover From Extreme Oversold Conditions

Lorna Divakar

Dec 22, 2022 16:15

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the fact that it seems as if we are approaching the 50-Day EMA, the S&P 500 has increased a little in the E-mini contract during the trading session on Wednesday. In the end, I believe that this market is attempting to reach some kind of balance between this point and the year's conclusion.


 After all, this is the year's worst period for liquidity, and there have undoubtedly been many worries lately. Even if Wall Street was waiting for a giveaway, Jerome Powell has been sure to underline the concept that the Federal Reserve was going to remain tight for a while.


A significant flush down might occur if we close below the hammer from the Tuesday session, but I don't believe it will happen straight away. Since this market has been overdone, in my opinion, we are merely rebounding until we see an exhaustion candle. I won't hesitate to start selling on that exhaustion candle since, to be honest, I believe it would be a really bearish indicator. In the end, I do believe that we will decline because, very honestly, a severe recession is imminent and it is clear that Wall Street is now beginning to concur with all of the forecasts.


To consider this a prospective market worth purchasing, we would need to at the very least knock out the top of the 200 day EMA. I just don't see how that could occur, therefore I believe you are watching for a chance to go short once again. You just don't know; it may happen in January or it might happen right now.