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On November 15th, the European Parliament adopted its position paper on amendments to the European Climate Law on the 13th, supporting the addition of a legally binding 2040 mid-term climate target to the existing EU climate law. The position paper requires the EU to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, while also supporting the European Commissions proposal to introduce flexibility in achieving the target. The European Parliament stated its support for member states to offset emissions reductions of up to 5% of their 1990 emissions by purchasing international carbon credits from other partner countries starting in 2036. The European Parliament also advocated for incorporating permanent carbon removal into the EU Emissions Trading System, in addition to existing reduction methods, to offset some emissions that are difficult to reduce.On November 15, the UN Security Council adopted a resolution on November 14 extending sanctions against Yemen for another year until December 15, 2026, and requesting a panel of experts to continue monitoring and submit reports. The resolution condemned the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and other waters, reaffirmed the arms embargo, and emphasized the need to resolve the conflict through a political process.Leapmotor: Cumulative sales this year have exceeded 500,000 units, achieving the 2025 sales target ahead of schedule.On November 15th, according to the Financial Times, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffetts company, disclosed a $4.3 billion holding in Alphabet while reducing its Apple stake, making it the tenth largest holding in its portfolio. This may be one of the last new stock positions Berkshire adds before Buffetts retirement at the end of this year. This move deviates somewhat from Buffetts philosophy of buying and holding value stocks rather than high-growth companies for the long term. Meanwhile, Buffett sold approximately $11 billion worth of Apple stock in the third quarter. Besides Apple and now Alphabet, Berkshire Hathaways largest stock holdings do not include investments in large technology companies. Its other largest positions include American Express, Bank of America, and Coca-Cola, which remained largely unchanged in the third quarter.Conflict Situation: 1. Russia – ① Russian officials stated that a Ukrainian drone attack damaged apartment buildings and oil depots in the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. ② Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense forces shot down or intercepted 216 Ukrainian drones overnight. 66 drones were shot down in the Krasnodar region of southern Russia. ③ Russian Federal Security Service: A Ukrainian plot to assassinate a senior Russian government official was foiled while the official was visiting a cemetery in Moscow. ④ Governor of Volgograd Oblast: Air defense systems repelled a nighttime drone attack targeting energy infrastructure. ⑤ Sources: Oil exports from the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk have been suspended following the drone attack. ⑥ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces conducted large-scale strikes against Ukrainian military and energy facilities. ⑦ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces continued to attack besieged Ukrainian troops in the Krasnodar region. Russian forces successfully repelled seven Ukrainian attempts to relieve besieged troops from the northwest of Krasnodar. Russian forces also completed the clearing of Ukrainian personnel from the Rog settlement east of Krasnodar. 2. Ukraine – ① Numerous explosions were heard in the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, with the mayor claiming a large-scale Russian attack. ② The mayor of Kyiv stated that the Russian attack injured 11 people. ③ The Ukrainian Ministry of Energy reported that Russia attacked energy facilities last night, causing power outages in parts of Kyiv, Odessa, and Donetsk. ④ The attack on Kyiv has resulted in 6 deaths. ⑤ Ukraine launched a major drone attack on Novorossiysk, a key Black Sea port handling oil cargo from Russia and Kazakhstan. ⑥ The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Russian forces launched 64 attacks in multiple locations in the Pokrovsk direction, of which Ukrainian forces repelled 41; the remaining battles are ongoing. Other developments: 1. Denmark delivered €830 million in military aid to Ukraine. 2. German Chancellor Merz stated that the EU is preparing new sanctions against Russia. 3. Russia consulted with the International Atomic Energy Agency regarding the power supply security of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. 4. Two industry sources said that the Saratov oil refinery in Russia halted oil processing on November 11 following the drone attack. 5. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that the number of artillery shells North Korea supplied to Russia in 2025 has decreased by about half compared to 2024. 6. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that Russia plans to produce approximately 500 new glide bombs with a range of 200 kilometers this year and is working to extend the range to 400 kilometers.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Quiet to Open Up Holiday Week

Florala Chen

Nov 22, 2022 15:58

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The Monday trading session saw very little movement for the S&P 500 E-mini contract, which is currently sitting just over the 3950 level and just below the 200-Day EMA, which is at the 4025 level. In the end, I believe that the market will soon make a bigger decision, but for the time being it appears that Wall Street is still searching for the, so one would have to assume that there are some investors who are willing to purchase stocks on the basis of the notion of the "Santa Claus rally."


The 50-Day EMA, located precisely at the 3863 level, enters the picture if the market does break down from this point. I anticipate seeing a large degree of resistance to any selling in that range. The 3800 level and a more serious breakdown could be in danger if we fall below there.


The market is still in a downtrend, despite recent signs of a great recovery, and we have even seen the 200-Day EMA and the downtrend line enter the picture and provide at least some psychological resistance. Keeping this in mind, bear in mind that we are still trying to price in a recession.


We may observe a similar trend in the S&P 500 if the US currency strengthens more. Given enough time, I would fully expect the market to make a larger breakout, but since it is Thanksgiving week, it's highly likely that it may be waiting for that to happen.