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July 7th - The Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing and Settlement System officially commenced trial operations. It is understood that the Hong Kong Financial Services and the Shanghai Gold Exchange launched the first phase of "physical connectivity" today, based on the cooperation agreement signed in January this year. HKG Clearing has applied to become an international member of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and opened a physical gold account. Market participants can choose to deposit their physical gold holdings into designated warehouses in Hong Kong on the Shanghai Gold Exchanges international board through this account. Through two-way transfers, market participants can participate in both the Shanghai Gold Exchanges on-exchange market and the Hong Kong over-the-counter market, facilitating the flow of physical gold between the HKG Clearing system and the Shanghai Gold Exchange system, effectively connecting the gold markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai.On July 7th, AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver listed a list of risks facing the market over the next year, with one key risk focusing on the White House. He stated that after the upcoming midterm elections, US President Trump will be less constrained and may use this window of opportunity before the 2028 election to escalate overseas military operations, including renewed actions against Iran, and potentially involving Greenland and Cuba. Oliver added that this risk is particularly concerning if Trump loses control of both houses of Congress in November.Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China: We will support more high-quality companies to list and issue bonds in Hong Kong, and the annual net investment quota for the Bond Connect "Southbound" program will be increased to 800 billion yuan.July 7th - The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference and High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence will be held in Shanghai from July 17th to 20th. Wang Ruomeng, Deputy Director of the Innovation and High-Tech Development Department of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated at a press conference in Shanghai on July 7th that the NDRC will release two outcomes at this years conference. First, the "Chinas Smart World: Case Studies" collection. Since 2024, the NDRC has released case studies for three consecutive years, sharing my countrys accumulated products, technologies, and practical experience in "AI+" initiatives with the world. This years cases cover more than 20 countries, involving agriculture, industry, energy, and scientific research. Second, the "Action Plan for Cooperation and Development in Artificial Intelligence," which includes eight aspects such as inclusive intelligent computing power, open-source ecosystem sharing, AI empowerment, and security governance cooperation. It aims to strengthen communication and exchange with other countries in areas such as technological innovation, industrial application, and security governance.Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) of the United Arab Emirates stated that this agreement brings the long-term order book for the Ruwais LNG project to over 90% of its total capacity, with nearly 23% of the capacity already committed to supplying Japanese customers.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Have Quiet Return

Florala Chen

Jan 18, 2023 16:26

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As traders returned to work after the United States' Martin Luther King Jr. Day vacation, the S&P 500 E-mini contract fluctuated throughout trading on Tuesday, with regular hours and normal volume. It's remarkable that the markets did not soar higher, and of course, we must be concerned about the thought of the beginning of the earnings season. Banks are the subject of our present negotiations, and several of them have reported abjectly poor financial results.


Looking at this chart, it is important to note that we may reach the 4200 level if we break above the channel's downtrend line. The 50-Day EMA, which is slightly above the 3900 level, might be reached if we reverse course and break below the bottom of the hammer for the previous trading session.


To put it mildly, the markets will continue to seem quite loud and will fluctuate quite a bit depending on what we observe on results calls. In the end, I believe you should size your positions extremely carefully since there will probably be a lot of back-and-forth trading. You must be aware that the earnings season may be quite loud, and that the most recent "story" can often obscure the truth.


A significant amount of selling would begin if the price fell below the 50-Day EMA, however I don't anticipate this to happen quickly. Anything over the 4200 mark would indicate that a new bullish trend is likely to be starting in the market. I still lean toward the negative at this time, but the situation is definitely becoming fascinating.