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August 28th - A Reuters poll shows that the vast majority of economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive time next Wednesday, followed by another rate hike next quarter. The RBNZ implemented its first rate hike in over three years last month and hinted at further tightening of monetary policy to push inflation back to its target range of 1%-3%. Official data released subsequently showed that inflation rose to 4.1% last quarter, a two-and-a-half-year high. Economists expect inflation to remain within the target range this year, partly due to upward pressure on energy prices. The survey shows that about 90% of the 31 economists surveyed expect the RBNZ to raise the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% next Wednesday. HSBCs chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, Paul Bloxham, said, "The main reason is that inflation is above target." Two-thirds of economists expect the RBNZ to raise rates by at least 25 basis points again next quarter, with a median forecast of 3.00% for the official cash rate at year-end.A Reuters poll shows that more than two-thirds of forecasters expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise interest rates at least once more after September, with the cash rate expected to reach 3.00% or higher by the end of the year.A Reuters poll showed that 27 out of 31 economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on September 2.On August 28, Vice Minister of Commerce Yan Dong stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that China will adhere to innovation-driven development, enhance the international competitiveness of productive services, promote the export of services leveraging manufacturing advantages such as R&D, design, testing, maintenance, and supply chain logistics, and promote the integrated development of service trade and high-end manufacturing. The Ministry will also stimulate the export potential of consumer services, expand inbound consumption, promote the improvement of cultural trade quality and efficiency, and better leverage digital technologies such as artificial intelligence and cloud computing to empower the development of service trade. Furthermore, China will accelerate the construction of national service trade innovation and development demonstration zones, steadily and orderly promote the expansion of market access and opening-up areas with a focus on the service industry, improve the negative list management system for cross-border service trade, and remove barriers to cross-border service trade.According to Nikkei Asia: South Koreas Ministry of National Defense announced that Japan, South Korea, and the United States will hold the annual "Freedom Blade" trilateral defense exercise from September 7 to 11 in waters near Jeju Island in southern South Korea.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Slump

Cory Russell

Oct 11, 2022 15:27

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

It does make sense that we would ultimately continue to decline since the S&P 500 E-mini contract gapped lower to open the Monday session. We have already filled that need, and now we are turning around and acting negatively. At this moment, 3600 seems to be nearly a lock, therefore I do think that a lot of people were going to enter the market at the first indication of weariness. With an eye on the 3500 level, if we can go below the 3600 level, it's possible that this market will decline much farther.


A recovery rally may begin if the candlestick for the Monday session is broken above the top.


However, this rally is likely to be short-lived because the market is still under the influence of many negative factors, not the least of which are the rising interest rates and, of course, the unfavorable macroeconomic conditions around the world. After all, the S&P 500 is filled with global juggernauts that, of course, do business globally.


Given that, it is highly possible that there will be a lot of back-and-forth, always looking for the negative. I believe that at this time, you must see this through the lens of choppy volatility with pessimism lurking behind it since the 50-Day EMA is breaking hard right below the 3900 mark. As a result, the market is quite likely to decline since volatility does not encourage confidence.

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