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November 15th - Stephen Innes, Managing Partner of SPI Asset Management, stated that with the US government reopening, a backlog of important data will be released, including employment and inflation indicators, which the market expects to be weak. Weaker US data could depress US Treasury yields, reigniting market expectations for an interest rate cut in early 2026 and providing room for a rebound in gold prices, which have been squeezed by rising real yields. The recent pullback in gold prices appears more like position adjustments than a trend reversal. The outlook for gold remains positive, and investors will closely watch US real yields, a weaker dollar, and upcoming data. If the data points to a cooling US economy, gold could rebound next week.November 15th - According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is accelerating its succession planning, preparing for Tim Cook to potentially step down as CEO as early as next year. Multiple sources familiar with internal discussions revealed that Apples board and senior management have recently expedited preparations to welcome Cooks departure. John Ternus, Apples senior vice president of hardware engineering, is widely considered Cooks most likely successor, but a final decision has not yet been made. Sources close to Apple indicate that this long-awaited transition is not due to the companys current performance, as Apples iPhone sales season at the end of this year is expected to be very strong. If a successor is announced early next year, the new leadership team will have time to establish themselves before Apples key annual events, including the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in June and the iPhone launch event in September.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is preparing for Tim Cook to step down as CEO as early as next year, with John Ternus, the companys senior vice president of hardware engineering, widely considered the most likely successor.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is stepping up its planning for a successor to CEO Tim Cook.On November 15th, the European Parliament adopted its position paper on amendments to the European Climate Law on the 13th, supporting the addition of a legally binding 2040 mid-term climate target to the existing EU climate law. The position paper requires the EU to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, while also supporting the European Commissions proposal to introduce flexibility in achieving the target. The European Parliament stated its support for member states to offset emissions reductions of up to 5% of their 1990 emissions by purchasing international carbon credits from other partner countries starting in 2036. The European Parliament also advocated for incorporating permanent carbon removal into the EU Emissions Trading System, in addition to existing reduction methods, to offset some emissions that are difficult to reduce.

S&P 500 Weekly Price Forecast – Stock Market Stall After Momentum Runs Out

Alice Wang

Nov 21, 2022 15:09


Weekly Technical Analysis for the S&P 500

Since the S&P 500 has been fluctuating a lot this week, I believe that this candlestick is quite informative. After all, the previous week had witnessed a significant increase due to the lower-than-expected CPI statistics. But there was no action taken in response. The weekly candlestick reversed direction exactly at the 50-Week EMA. In the end, we are still constructing a descending triangle, so it will be fascinating to see how it develops.


Hopes that the Federal Reserve may back down on tightening and perhaps even start considering turning have contributed significantly to the recent rise. Quite honestly, James Bullard has said it more than once, but the word that keeps coming to mind for me is "higher for longer." This indicates that even if the market succeeds in convincing the Federal Reserve to stop rising rates, those rates will likely remain high for a considerable amount of time.


Of course, the other option is that we surpass the trend line I've drawn on the weekly chart, in which case it's possible that we'll reach the 4250 level. In the end, it appears that purchasers are having less and less of an impact on the market, and with all the potential downside that's coming, I believe it's quite likely that it's simpler to short this market, even though sometimes it seems like things are a little rough around the edges. The US currency and interest rate markets should be closely monitored because there is a negative association between them.

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