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Amazon (AMZN.O): Alexa+ will launch in the UK on March 19 as part of the early access program.1. Market Update: Precious metals futures fell overnight, and the weakness continued today. Currently, Shanghai silver futures are down nearly 7%, and Shanghai gold futures are down over 3%. 2. US February PPI rose 3.4% year-on-year, while core PPI reached a one-year high of 3.9%, indicating higher-than-expected inflation. The Federal Reserve held its March policy meeting last night, maintaining its current policy stance as expected, raising its inflation forecast, and still projecting one rate cut this year. Following the meeting, Powell stated that the economic impact of the US-Iran conflict remains uncertain, and the current decline in inflation has stalled. Tariffs and rising oil prices are creating combined pressure, gradually transmitting to core inflation. 3. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued an emergency statement early this morning (March 19th), announcing a large-scale missile attack on US-related oil and energy facilities in the region. The Revolutionary Guard stated that this action was a "direct and reciprocal retaliation" for the March 18th attack on Iranian energy infrastructure, aimed at targeting energy facilities "with US interests and US ownership." 4. Everbright Futures: Escalating geopolitical tensions coupled with hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve became the final straw for gold. However, investors should not be overly pessimistic. With rapid inflation in the US, real interest rates are expected to weaken. A wait-and-see approach or a buy-on-dips strategy is recommended in the short term. Silver, platinum, and palladium are currently fluctuating in tandem with gold, making trading more difficult. Gold plays a significant role as a "ballast" for precious metals. Watch for when gold prices return to an upward trend and wait for the right opportunity. 5. Minmetals Futures: The surge in oil prices against the backdrop of the Iran war has boosted market inflation expectations and prompted a reassessment of the US economys resilience to energy shocks. The FOMC meeting decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75%. Furthermore, the possibility of further rate hikes was mentioned at this meeting. The released dot plot maintained the expectation of one rate cut each in the next two years, but the distribution was more hawkish than before, putting short-term pressure on precious metal prices. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data such as Everbright Futures and is for reference only, not investment advice.)The Hang Seng Tech Index fell more than 2% intraday, with AI applications, OpenClaw, and prominent tech stocks leading the decline.A Japanese power group executive said they will join a nationwide effort to ensure stable liquefied natural gas supplies amid the Iranian crisis.On March 19th, Daiwa Securities economists stated that despite rising geopolitical uncertainty, Bank of Japan Policy Board members Hajime Takada and Naoki Tamura maintained a hawkish stance, indicating that the central banks internal monetary tightening position remains unchanged. Takada proposed raising interest rates to 1%, while Tamura disagreed with the committees view on the inflation outlook, believing that core inflation will reach the 2% target sooner than other members expect. The meetings summary of opinions, scheduled for release on March 30th, may provide clues as to whether other committee members are inclined to raise interest rates.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Market Continues to Slump

Alice Wang

Nov 04, 2022 17:09

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As the effects of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday continue to be felt, the S&P 500 has decreased somewhat during Thursday's trading session. It does make sense that the S&P 500 will decline given that the Federal Reserve is likely to see tightening as the way ahead. You also need to be concerned about the effects of the worldwide recession, which will likely cause exports to decline.


The 50-Day EMA above provides a little amount of dynamic resistance as any rise at this point might provide a selling opportunity. On the other side, it is conceivable that we may decline below the 3600 level if we were to break below the bottom of the trading session's candlestick. Remember that this market has been pretty loud for a long, and despite the good rise we've seen in recent weeks, the rally is really rather minor in comparison to the general trend.


If we were to go below the 3600 level, which should provide strong support, it is conceivable that we would reach the 3500 level or perhaps the 3400 level. The 3900 level would be a significant obstacle, though, if we were to reverse course and go upward. It's possible that we might go to the 4000 level, which is also supported by the critical 200-Day EMA, if we can break through that level. In other words, this chart has a lot of warning flags that suggest sellers will keep looking for chances to short the market.