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On November 10th, New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that financial pressures faced by low- and middle-income Americans could threaten the resilience of the U.S. economy, even as wealthier families benefit from the stock market boom. In an interview, Williams said the Feds December interest rate decision "will be a balancing act." He noted, "Inflation remains high and shows no signs of declining," but the U.S. economy "still exhibits a degree of resilience." Nevertheless, many Americans are still struggling with housing and living costs. There are signs that "low- and middle-income families are facing some constraints in terms of affordability," posing a risk to consumer confidence and spending. Williams also rejected calls to modify the Feds benchmark interest rate mechanism, stating that expectations of productivity gains driven by artificial intelligence are supporting the market, but he is concerned about potential over-investment and a stock market bubble.On November 10th, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated on the 9th that US President Donald Trumps recent announcement of plans to resume nuclear testing gave the impression that the US intended to begin nuclear testing in the near future. Russia needs clarification on this. Peskov said that Russian President Vladimir Putin has not ordered the immediate commencement of preparations for nuclear testing, and if any other country violates the nuclear testing ban, Russia will be forced to take reciprocal measures to maintain strategic balance.On November 10th, it was reported that on November 9th local time, U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that a potential agreement to end the government shutdown was "progressing." However, Thune also noted that an agreement was not guaranteed, as senators needed time to read the proposal and it could take several hours before concrete action could be taken.November 9th - Trump: I am pleased to announce that the great attorney John Coale has been nominated as the U.S. Special Envoy to Belarus. He has successfully facilitated the release of 100 hostages and is working to secure the release of another 50. I would like to express my sincere gratitude in advance to the esteemed President Lukashenko of Belarus for considering the release of these additional hostages.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Substantial progress is being made on the inflation issue, and prices are expected to fall in the coming months.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Market Continues to Rally Toward Jobs Figure

Skylar Shaw

Feb 03, 2023 15:31


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 has risen a little during Thursday's trading session as it seems we will aim to reach the 4200 mark. At this point, the market will almost certainly experience some selling pressure, but there is also the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payroll report, which is something to keep an eye on. At this point, a pullback would probably be caused by high numbers, as people will start to worry once more about the Federal Reserve and whether or not they will be required to continue tightening the monetary policy.


As the round number is definitely going to draw a lot of attention, the 200-Day EMA is sitting just above the 4000 level, and that is certainly an area that a lot of people would pay special attention to.


The market may very easily challenge the 50-Day EMA if we go below the 200-Day EMA. Much of this depends on whether or not people think that the Federal Reserve will keep its monetary policy tight and cause the economy to grow slowly. The market doesn't seem to be particularly interested in what the Federal Reserve has to say right now, at least not after the announcement on Wednesday.


As we are in the middle of earnings season, there is a lot to keep an eye on, so it makes sense in a certain sense that volatility would likely increase rather than decrease. This will move quickly towards the 4300 level if we can remove the 4200 level following the jobs number.

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