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August 13th - According to foreign media reports, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi supports a near-term interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, with the next move likely in September or October. The Bank of Japans concerns about the weak yen pushing up prices, coupled with the governments desire to enhance the effectiveness of recent joint US-Japan foreign exchange market intervention, have led to a convergence in their stance on the necessity of a near-term rate hike. The Prime Ministers Office believes that specific monetary policy measures, including interest rate hikes, should be decided by the Bank of Japan, but both sides should cooperate closely to achieve the 2% inflation target with "stability."Market news: The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates in September or October.Market news: Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi reportedly supports the Bank of Japan raising interest rates more quickly.On August 13, the Bank of Korea (BOK) purchased gold-related assets for the first time in 13 years to hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties. According to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the BOK held 679,765 shares of SPDR Gold Shares, worth approximately $250 million, at the end of the second quarter. The filing shows that three months prior, the bank did not hold any shares in the worlds largest physical gold-backed ETF. The BOK stated that this investment marks its first purchase of gold-linked assets since 2013. This purchase will not increase the banks official gold reserves, as gold ETFs are classified as securities and are part of its foreign exchange reserves. Choi Kyuho, an economist at Hanwha Investment & Securities, said, "The BOKs current gold allocation is quite low. From a global standards perspective, the BOK still has room to purchase more gold. I believe they will gradually increase their gold holdings."According to Interfax news agency, local officials said a drone struck an industrial area in Bashkorto, Russia.

Silver Prices Face Downward Pressure Due to Growing Concerns About Inflation and a New Sanction on Russia

Drake Hampton

Apr 07, 2022 10:30

Tips

  • Silver prices remained stable due to fears about rising inflation.

  • The dollar strengthens upon the publication of the Federal Reserve's minutes.

  • Benchmark rates have continued to rise at a faster rate than the rate of tightening.

  • Oil prices are falling as the US and EIA pledge to release critical stockpiles.

 

Silver prices fell marginally as concerns about inflation increased as a result of the Ukraine crisis. Benchmark yields increased in response to the Fed's hawkish tone and more active policy. The ten-year Treasury yield increased to 2.61 percent, approaching March 2019 highs. Due to growing risk-averse sentiment, new sanctions on Russia resulted in a surge in gold and silver prices. Oil prices declined 2.2% to $99.73 per barrel as the US committed to deploying 60 million barrels from strategic reserves while EIA members committed to release 120 million barrels. 180 million barrels in total would be released.

 

The March FOMC meeting minutes, released on Wednesday, showed that the Fed intends to begin shrinking the balance sheet by $95 billion per month in May. Treasury securities would be limited to a maximum of $60 billion and mortgage-backed securities to a maximum of $35 billion, which would be phased in over three months. Additionally, the discussion indicated that future meetings would likely include a 50-basis-point hike. Members favored more aggressive maneuvers. Additionally, the Fed raised its inflation forecast and decreased its economic growth forecast.

Technical Evaluation

Silver prices fell to $24.4 per ounce today as increasing inflation offsets negative pressure from aggressive rate hikes and a strengthening dollar. New sanctions against Russia may act as a tailwind due to silver's safe-haven characteristics. Silver is under pressure to fall to the $24.00 level as yields rise and the dollar strengthens. This circumstance may result in a breach below support for XAG/USD. Near the horizontal trendline near 23.6, there is support. Resistance is located near the 50-day moving average, which is located near 24.5. Short-term momentum shifted negative as the fast stochastic crossed below the zero line, signaling a sell signal.

 

The medium-term momentum is negative, as indicated by the histogram's negative correlation with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram's trajectory is negative but decelerating, indicating an upward trend in price movement.

 

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