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March 11 – Due to persistent inflationary pressures, two major Australian banks expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive week. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac predicted on Wednesday that the RBA will raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% next week, in line with expectations from UBS and Deutsche Bank. NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld stated, “Given Australia’s relatively unfavorable inflation starting point and recent data confirming that the economy is running well above trend growth, the rationale for a rate hike in the near term is clear.” Westpac Chief Economist Luci Ellis said that the RBA’s belief that demand continues to exceed economic capacity and its willingness to address surging overall inflation to prevent a sustained rise in price expectations prompted her to change her forecast. Ellis stated, “There could be disagreements at next week’s meeting. Market participants should consider the possibility that the RBA might choose to wait until May to raise rates, but this is no longer our base case scenario.”March 11 (Kyodo News) – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryosuke Akazawa stated on Wednesday during a parliamentary committee meeting, in response to questions from lawmakers, that the Japanese government has not ruled out the possibility of releasing national oil reserves "on its own initiative," rather than as part of a coordinated action. He added, "We will take all possible measures to ensure a stable energy supply." As of the end of December, Japans total oil reserves were sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs for 254 days, of which 146 days worth were held by the government, 101 days worth were held by the private sector, and the remainder were stored jointly with oil-producing countries.March 11th - This years government work report further clarified the need to "expand market access with a focus on the service sector," accelerating Beijings new round of opening up. In the first batch of pilot programs nationwide to expand opening up in areas such as value-added telecommunications and healthcare, Beijing became the first city in China to establish a foreign-invested enterprise specializing in human gene diagnosis and treatment technology. To date, more than 60 foreign-invested enterprises have participated in the pilot programs. Last year, Beijing saw over 2,400 new foreign-invested enterprises, a record high. According to the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Commerce, this year will see the release of the 3.0 plan for the comprehensive demonstration zone for expanding opening up in the service sector, the implementation of actions to enhance the opening-up level of key industrial parks, the promotion of differentiated development of comprehensive bonded zones, and proactive alignment with high-standard international trade and economic rules, injecting new momentum into a higher level of opening up.Market news: The Saudi Foreign Minister spoke with the US Secretary of State to discuss Irans regional aggression.Piper Jaffray: Lowered its target price for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $240 to $210.

Silver Prices Continue to Fall as the Dollar and Government Bond Yields Strengthen

Daniel Rogers

Apr 29, 2022 10:03

Silver prices fell as a result of the impending rate hike and a strong dollar. Dollar reached two-decade highs. Treasury yields increased as unexpected economic data indicated a slowing economy. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note increased 4 basis points to 2.85 percent.

 

Gold prices fell to two-month lows as the dollar strengthened, but recovered marginally later in the trading session. Oil prices stabilized Thursday morning following tumultuous trading, as investors absorbed the tightening of Russian oil supplies and the possibility of Chinese demand decreasing. A higher currency erodes the value of oil.

 

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) unexpectedly dropped by 1.4 percent in Q1. Analysts anticipated a 1% increase in GDP. GDP is a three-month period measure of the output of goods and services in the United States. While consumer spending climbed by 2.7%, prices increased by 7.8%.

 

Increases in prices offset the increase in spending. The GDP data reflects the uncertain economic outlook created by the Fed's rate rise cycle. While the figures do not indicate a recession, they do indicate weaker economic growth in the future.

Technical Evaluation

Silver prices have continued to fall below the 23.00 mark, reaching a two-month low of 23.20 in today's trading session. The prospect of a Federal Reserve rate hike has boosted rates and the dollar. Silver is now under downward pressure as a result of this predicament. The commodity may test February 2022 lows near the $22 level in early February.

 

Near the November 2021 lows near $23.00, there is support. Resistance is indicated near the 200-day moving average's old support level of 23.83. The short-term momentum is going positive, maybe due to a crossover buy signal from the fast stochastic.

 

The medium-term momentum has shifted to the downside, as evidenced by the histogram's negative correlation with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram's trajectory is negative, indicating a downward trend in price movement.

 

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