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On May 8, Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said that the Federal Reserve has fallen into an almost desperate situation, and its dual missions - full employment and stable prices - may go in opposite directions. However, the incredibly uncertain US government policies will determine the timing and magnitude of these changes. Trumps tough stance on tariffs has further exacerbated the Feds embarrassing situation. In this case, the Fed can only choose to stand idly by. Rate cuts are necessary, but the Fed seems to increasingly need to wait until the end of the third quarter for the window of opportunity to open.On May 8, Steve Matthews, investment director of Canada Life Asset Management, pointed out that a 50 basis point rate cut will be an important topic at the Bank of Englands upcoming meeting, reflecting the change in the economic background since Marchs standstill. Global trade disruptions and signs of economic slowdown - especially the decline in US quarterly GDP data - have put a larger interest rate cut in the spotlight. Given that UK CPI inflation is now basically up to standard, MPC members Dingla and Mann are expected to support a 50 basis point rate cut, opening the door to a possible unexpected large rate cut. However, Matthews predicted that this camp is expected to be vetoed by the majority vote in the end, thus passing a 25 basis point rate cut resolution, bringing the base rate to 4.25%.Germanys industrial output in March adjusted for working days was -0.2% year-on-year, in line with expectations of -2.7% and previous reading of -4.00%.Ukrainian Air Force: As of 8 a.m. local time on May 8, no Russian missiles or drones were found in Ukrainian airspace.Germanys seasonally adjusted industrial output rose 3% month-on-month in March, the biggest increase since October 2021.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD snaps a four-day downtrend as bulls approach the $22.30 resistance level

Alina Haynes

Feb 08, 2023 11:55

截屏2022-06-06 下午5.54.42.png 

 

Silver price (XAG/USD) purchasers tussle with the important Exponential Moving Average (EMA) barrier as the precious metal recovers from a two-month low to post its first daily gains in five sessions, gaining 0.60% intraday near $22.30 on Wednesday morning.

 

In doing so, the XAG/USD touches the 100-exponential moving average while recouping recent losses. Silver buyers are challenged by the bearish MACD signals and the metal's selling below the previous support line from early December 2022, which is now a resistance line around $23.05

 

Nevertheless, a decisive upside breach of the 100-EMA barrier near $22.30 might propel the price fast to $23.00 before exposing the support-turned-resistance line near $23.05

 

Multiple resistances could then confront Silver investors at $23.20 and $24.30 before pushing the price toward the monthly high of $24.63.

 

The 200-EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal's uptrend from September 2022 to early February 2023 provide significant support between $22.00 and $21.95.

 

In the event that Silver remains bearish beyond $21.95, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements near $21.10 and $20.25 could pose a challenge to the XAG/USD bears. Also serving as a negative filter is the $20.00 round number.

 

Overall, the Silver price is likely to rise, but the bulls are still a long way from regaining control.