• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On November 12th, Zhou Liufu (06168.HK) announced that, according to its internal calculations, since the start of the Double 11 shopping festival on various e-commerce platforms this year, the total shipment amount of its e-commerce subsidiaries, excluding Vipshop and JD.coms self-operated channels, reached RMB 287 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.28% (excluding gold bars). The overall gross profit margin was 22.05%, an increase of nearly 10 percentage points year-on-year. Furthermore, the companys e-commerce business revenue for the period from January to October 2025 increased by 32% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 71% year-on-year, with a net profit margin exceeding 8% during the same period.The onshore yuan closed at 7.1172 against the US dollar at 16:30 on November 12, up 35 points from the previous trading day.On November 12th, Tom Roderick of Trium Capital stated that U.S. government borrowing costs should remain relatively stable and predictable over the next twelve months. He said, "From the U.S. governments perspective, this is good because they are unlikely to see a significant increase in borrowing costs." Trium Capital predicts that the 10-year Treasury yield will fluctuate between 3.60% and 5.00% over the next year, although a rise to 4.50% is possible in the near term. However, the global macro portfolio manager stated that the government is "extremely unlikely to see a significant drop in interest rates, thereby making their financing situation easier." According to Tradeweb data, the 10-year Treasury yield was last down 2.5 basis points to 4.085%.On November 12th, Changguang Huaxin announced on its interactive platform that in the field of optical communication, its 100G EML has achieved mass production, its 200G EML has begun sampling, and its 100G VCSEL, 100mW CW DFB, and 70mW CWDM4DFB chips have reached mass production and shipment levels. Benefiting from the recent increase in computing power demand, several major overseas optical module manufacturers have been verifying multiple of the companys chips, and the verification has been successful.On November 12th, according to the Wall Street Journal, under months of tariff threats and pressure from stricter pricing rules, several pharmaceutical company CEOs went to the White House to announce a drug price agreement in exchange for regulatory easing. However, for Eli Lilly (LLY.N) and Novo Nordisk (NVO.N), the considerations were quite different. This deal was not just a simple "ceasefire," but a passport to market expansion. By lowering the prices of drugs like Wegovy and Zepbound, they gained Medicare coverage for obesity treatment—meaning millions of new patients. They built a market moat by "trading price for volume": latecomers will no longer be able to replicate the early high-priced launch of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs. For competitors like Pfizer, this means entering a market with thinner profit margins and extremely high manufacturing costs. The core of the agreement is Medicare; although the details are still unclear, the overall logic is clear: pharmaceutical companies provide net price discounts on drugs, and the government expands reimbursement coverage for the elderly. At first glance, the discounts seem quite substantial. Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk will offer GLP-1 drugs under Medicare for $245 per month, with patients paying only $50 in co-payments starting as early as April 2026. This is significantly lower than the previous prices that often exceeded thousands of dollars. In exchange, the two companies can nearly double the number of people covered. Bernstein estimates that this Medicare agreement opens up a new market of approximately 30 million people, with an annual sales potential of $27 billion.

S&P 500 (SPY) Retreats As Treasury Yields Test New Highs

Jimmy Khan

Sep 23, 2022 14:35

微信截图_20220923142724.png

Consumer Cyclical Stocks Drop Amid Fears of a Recession

As traders continue to pay attention to the aggressive Fed, the S&P 500 is still under pressure. A further deterrent for markets was today's Initial Jobless Claims data, which showed that 213,000 Americans applied for jobless benefits in a week. The Fed is being forced to boost rates rapidly in an effort to temper demand because the employment market is still tight.


Consumer cyclical equities, which were among the losses yesterday, are now under significant pressure. In today's trading session, shares of Expedia, Etsy, and Caesars Entertainment are down 5–8%. When customers cut down on "unnecessary" expenditures, the market gets ready for a recession.


Treasury rates are steadily increasing, which is negative for technology equities. The yield on 10-year Treasuries is now attempting to rise beyond the 3.70% mark. Such yields last seen in 2011 before this.

Among the greatest losers in the IT industry are AMD and NVIDIA. Traders worry that falling PC demand would adversely affect their performance.


The price of energy equities is rising right now. Refining stocks like Valero Energy, Phillips 66, and Marathon Petroleum are among the market leaders.


From a broad perspective, the market is still gloomy. Rising Treasury rates show that bond market participants are continuing to be ready for the Fed's aggressive rate increases. Stocks can come under greater pressure if Treasury rates reach fresh highs.

Tests Support At 3750 For S&P 500

The S&P 500 is now attempting to settle below the 3750 level of support. In the event that this effort is successful, it will move in the direction of the next support, which is at 3725. A move below this point will allow for a test of the support level at 3700. If the S&P 500 drops below 3700, it will move in the direction of support at 3660.


The S&P 500's closest upward resistance level is found at 3780. The S&P 500 will go toward the next barrier at 3800 if it rises over this point. If this level is successfully tested, the S&P 500 will move closer to the 3825 resistance level.