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August 28th - Analysts and investors believe this speech will be an early test, observing whether Warsh is willing to adapt to an environment of growing concern about his policy plans. The Federal Reserve has now failed to achieve its inflation target for 65 consecutive months, and progress over the past year and a half has been very limited. Early in his tenure, Warsh repeatedly reiterated his commitment to achieving the Feds inflation target, but consistently failed to specify how, which has already sparked calls for the Fed to adjust its policy focus. EY-Parthenons chief economist, Gregory Daco, stated that Warshs previous statements have been very vague, and "people are worried about the Feds independence," as well as whether Warsh is reluctant to discuss potential interest rate hikes to avoid angering Trump and his administration. Daco said, "He has to be more careful in his communication, not giving the impression that the Fed might be coordinating and cooperating more with the Treasury, nor giving the impression that he is influenced by the presidents demands for rate cuts… These are not good signs for any new Fed chair." Warsh must carefully navigate his statements. Saying too much could trigger irreversible expectations, or at least make people uncomfortable; saying too little could damage credibility and hand over influence to other members of the Federal Reserve who can provide more detailed arguments. In either case, market volatility is likely.The Chicago PMI for August will be released in ten minutes.August 28 - The Russian Ministry of Defense announced today (August 28) the successful test launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile.According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Iran and Russia have eased travel restrictions for business travelers and truck drivers.Federal Reserves Hamack: We dont know much about the economic impact of the balance sheet.

S&P 500 Reached 4,000 – Is Bear Market Over?

Cory Russell

Nov 15, 2022 17:16

After gaining by 5.5% on Thursday, the S&P 500 index gained by 0.92% on Friday. The market remained positive after the release of the Consumer Price Index on Thursday, and the index for the entire stock market rose to its highest level since September 13. On Friday, the day's high was 4,001.48.


This morning's opening of the S&P 500 index is predicted to be 0.3% lower. We might see a profit-taking strategy at some time. There haven't, however, been any unambiguous early warning indications.


On the daily chart, we can see that the S&P 500 index broke over its prior regional highs last week and hit the 4,000 level.

Futures Contract with Short-Term Uncertainty

Let's examine the hourly chart for the S&P 500 futures contract. It barely climbed beyond the 4,000 level on Friday. It appears to be in a short-term consolidation phase right now, or it may be a flat decrease within an uptrend. Among other things, the resistance level is between 4,000 and 4,050.


In our opinion, there are presently no positions that are warranted in terms of risk versus reward.

Conclusion

The stock market is anticipated to vary after last week's huge increase from Thursday to Friday. The S&P 500 index may pause after reaching 4,000 last week. The market appears to be briefly overbought, so during the trading day we might see some profit-taking. There haven't, however, been any unambiguous early warning indications.