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On July 22, Japans imports surged 25.4% year-on-year in June, reaching a record 11.3 trillion yen (approximately US$69.25 billion), driven by a weaker yen and soaring oil prices. This increase exceeded market expectations of 21% and was the fastest pace since November 2022, resulting in a trade deficit of 406.9 billion yen (approximately US$2.49 billion) in June, far exceeding the previously predicted 120 billion yen. While crude oil imports declined by 13.7% year-on-year, the import value surged by 59.3%, with yen-denominated unit prices also reaching a record high, highlighting that current inflationary pressures are largely driven by exchange rate factors rather than demand growth. This means that the yens appreciation has a more significant effect on alleviating import cost pressures than potential short-term changes in oil demand. On the export side, the resilience of demand from data centers related to artificial intelligence provides the Bank of Japan with real economic growth support that can be used to offset inflationary risks. This combination of factors suggests that the Bank of Japan is more likely to adopt a cautious, gradual interest rate hike path rather than a sudden and sharp tightening of policy. The market currently expects the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates unchanged next week, but will maintain its tightening policy stance.Malaysias Deputy Finance Minister: If crude oil prices are $90 per barrel, the monthly subsidy program for 95-octane gasoline will be RM2 billion, and the diesel subsidy will be RM1.5 billion.July 22 – According to the Fujian Provincial Bureau of Statistics, based on the unified accounting results for regional GDP, the provinces GDP in the first half of the year reached 2,931.582 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.0% at constant prices. Specifically, the added value of the primary industry was 125.979 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%; the added value of the secondary industry was 1,247.608 billion yuan, an increase of 3.8%; and the added value of the tertiary industry was 1,557.995 billion yuan, an increase of 4.1%.Mitsubishi Electric and Sony Semiconductor Solutions have formed a joint venture to focus on artificial intelligence vision sensors for industrial manufacturing.July 22 – This morning (July 22), the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, accelerate the modernization of customs, and contribute to the construction of a strong trading nation. Ports are gateways to the outside world. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, customs will accelerate the implementation of key border port projects under the national 15th Five-Year Plan, simultaneously implement the 57 port facility renovation projects under the 15th Five-Year Plan, and speed up the construction of railway ports such as Turugart and Ganqimaodu. This will help further optimize the layout of port opening.

S&P 500 Price Prediction - Futures Hit Early

Jimmy Khan

May 13, 2022 10:50

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Thursday's trading session, the S&P 500 futures market plummeted sharply, going below the 3900 level. The market seems to be set to continue falling deeper, although a little comeback may be required beforehand. That's reasonable. We can't keep going in the same route because, honestly, people will eventually stop fearing. However, since the S&P 500's overall fundamental outlook remains bleak, I would not use this as a chance to go long.


Short-term rallies, as we have seen recently, are more likely to turn into selling opportunities. Looking at this chart, I believe the 4100 level above is a major resistance barrier that we will not be able to pass, at least not very soon. The Federal Reserve will have to intervene to preserve the market, but it is not yet prepared to do so. To be honest, the current inflationary situation in America is simply too dangerous to be concerned about Wall Street. Surprisingly, most Wall Street traders have never seen a situation in which the Federal Reserve did not bail them out.


This will be entertaining to see, but it does not have to be costly. At these low levels, keep your position size moderate, acknowledge that the trend is almost probably to the negative, and don't "try to be a hero." In this market, a little patience and money management should go a long way over many weeks. Remember that volatility may work for or against you, therefore I would advise everyone to remain careful.