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New York gold futures hit $3,400 an ounce, up 0.24% on the day.New Zealand Prime Minister: Net capital allocation for the 2025 budget is NZ$4 billion, higher than the previous estimate of NZ$3.6 billion.Futures News on May 8, overnight oil prices fell significantly, which may be due to the fading of previous positive factors, and it is difficult for oil prices to find positive support. From the perspective of supply and demand, crude oil is still under pressure as a whole. OPEC+ may increase at a relatively certain time, and it is still difficult to see a certain increase on the demand side. In the long term, energy demand will at least be partially replaced by electricity, and even the valuation basis of crude oil will change. In the short term, there may be a rebound supported by geopolitical and Sino-US tariff negotiations. From a technical perspective, oil prices fell below the bottom of production cuts for many years in the form of a sharp drop, and then rebounded to around $65/barrel to form a downward trend again. The weekly level of US oil has shown a state of breaking, retesting and falling. The medium-term weak pattern may be difficult to change. Under the condition of continued pressure, there is a probability of pointing to $45/barrel. The short-term pressure moves down to around $60.4/barrel of US oil. The trading end still maintains the idea of shorting at highs in the medium term. There may be repeated near the previous low of $56/barrel. Short sellers should pay attention to protecting floating profits.On May 8, Tokyo Electron rose 3%, Disco rose 6.5%, Screen rose 2.1%, Lasertec rose 3.6%, and Advantest rose 3.9%. South Koreas Hynix rose 2.7%, Samsung Electronics rose 1.7%, Wonik IPS rose 2%, and DB Hitek rose 1.8%. Overnight, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 1.7%, and Nvidia rose 3.1%. On the news front, according to people familiar with the matter, the Trump administration plans to lift the Biden-era restrictions on artificial intelligence chips.On May 8, local time on the 8th, the South Korean military said that at around 8:10 a.m. that day, North Korea launched several flying objects that were presumed to be short-range ballistic missiles from the Wonsan area to the eastern waters of the peninsula. The South Korean military said it is closely monitoring North Koreas movements and continues to share relevant intelligence with the United States and Japan to maintain a state of alert.

S&P 500 Price Prediction - Futures Hit Early

Jimmy Khan

May 13, 2022 10:50

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Thursday's trading session, the S&P 500 futures market plummeted sharply, going below the 3900 level. The market seems to be set to continue falling deeper, although a little comeback may be required beforehand. That's reasonable. We can't keep going in the same route because, honestly, people will eventually stop fearing. However, since the S&P 500's overall fundamental outlook remains bleak, I would not use this as a chance to go long.


Short-term rallies, as we have seen recently, are more likely to turn into selling opportunities. Looking at this chart, I believe the 4100 level above is a major resistance barrier that we will not be able to pass, at least not very soon. The Federal Reserve will have to intervene to preserve the market, but it is not yet prepared to do so. To be honest, the current inflationary situation in America is simply too dangerous to be concerned about Wall Street. Surprisingly, most Wall Street traders have never seen a situation in which the Federal Reserve did not bail them out.


This will be entertaining to see, but it does not have to be costly. At these low levels, keep your position size moderate, acknowledge that the trend is almost probably to the negative, and don't "try to be a hero." In this market, a little patience and money management should go a long way over many weeks. Remember that volatility may work for or against you, therefore I would advise everyone to remain careful.