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September 14th - According to the Financial Times, persistently high inflation has led to a standoff between Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh this week, with markets bracing for a Fed rate hike despite the presidents demands. Economists warn that the Feds credibility will be at risk if it doesnt support a rate hike on Wednesday, as official data shows the Fed chairman previously stated he needed to see meaningful improvement before avoiding a rate hike, but the data hasnt shown any signs of that. However, a rate hike just weeks before the November midterm elections could anger the president, who has made it clear he wants significantly lower borrowing costs. Trump reiterated on Sunday that the US should have the "lowest interest rates in the world." Trumps National Economic Council Director, Hassett, warned, "If its a rate hike, then the president... Im sure he wont be particularly happy about it."On September 14th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," where the National Health Commission, the State Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine, and the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention introduced the decisive progress made in promoting the construction of a Healthy China. Lei Haichao, Director of the National Health Commission, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, emphasis should be placed on health governance, highlighting the fundamental, long-term, and stabilizing role of health legislation. We will advance legislation in the health field to better protect the public and practitioners, and better adjust various social relationships. Lei Haichao stated that the National Health Commission is drafting a childcare service law, which has entered the review process of the National Peoples Congress. In addition, the Blood Donation Law, enacted more than 20 years ago, is also being revised to adapt to the current new situation of blood supply and demand. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the legal foundation in the health field will be further strengthened, and the legal environment will be further optimized.Japans final July inventory growth rate was 0.5%, unchanged from the previous month.Japans capacity utilization index rose 0.5% month-on-month in July, down from 4.10% in the previous month.Japans capacity utilization index was 107.7 in July, compared with 107.2 in the previous month.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Get Sold to Kick off the Week

Alice Wang

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

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The 200-Day EMA was breached by the S&P 500 during the trading session after a steep decline. At this point, the Jackson Hole Symposium this week is still causing a lot of fear in the market.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As there is still a lot of pessimism, the S&P 500 has dropped significantly in the E-mini contract during the trading session on Monday. The central bankers' blather will ultimately draw a lot of attention to this week's Jackson Hole Symposium, and people will be curious about whether or not they will continue to be active in battling inflation. It does make some sense that equities would suffer as long as there is a central bank that is prepared to battle inflation, so a retreat this week is probably to be anticipated.


Along with the 50-Day EMA below, the 4113 level is a region where I anticipate seeing a lot of support. Clearing all of that would be a really unfortunate turn of events, and this market would undoubtedly fall below the 4000 level as a result. The stock market surge, in my opinion, may be almost done at this point, and the direction we go over the following few days' larger move will almost probably be determined by those events.


Sadly, much of this will depend on how the markets understand the statements made by central bankers, which implies that they "may get it wrong" once again. However, by the end of the week, we should see a lot of the momentum that traders have exhibited in one way or the other. On the upside, I believe there is still resistance in the area around the 4300 mark, which may have been the peak.