S&P 500 Price Forecast – Consolidation Continues in the S&P 500 E-mini Contract

Thursday's trading session saw a minor increase in optimistic sentiment for the S&P 500 as the E-mini contract increased once again. Having said that, we do generally continue to coil, and I believe that will likely be the case moving ahead.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

As we continue to trade in the same range that we have been in for the last week or so, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has marginally risen during Thursday's trading session. We are now in the middle of earnings season, which is characterized by a lot of noise that will continue to give people problems.

Breaking over the 4200 level would be a really powerful indicator, but I don't see it occurring very quickly since it seems to be a highly resistant level. This puts us in a position where, if we break below this level, we might descend all the way to the downtrend line, where the 50-Day EMA is just about to cross the 200-Day EMA.

The S&P 500 E-mini contract's short-term "floor in the market" is now believed to be that golden cross region, which also happens to be the 4000 level. However, I believe that ultimately you have to see this through the lens of a market that is extremely choppy and unsteady. Anything below there may unleash a tremendous wave of selling. If that's the case, it will be challenging to sled, so you need to be careful with the size of your position. Having said that, it's perhaps important to note that the recent highs have been steadily declining. Something is likely going to move swiftly and soon.