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On April 20th, six departments, including the Zhuhai Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau, issued a notice on optimizing and adjusting the citys real estate policies. The notice proposes optimizing housing provident fund loan policies. First, it increases the maximum housing provident fund loan amount. For eligible families with single or dual contributors, the maximum individual housing provident fund loan amount is increased from 800,000 yuan to 1 million yuan and from 1.3 million yuan to 1.5 million yuan, respectively. Second, it expands support for families with multiple children purchasing homes. For families with multiple children applying for a provident fund loan to purchase a second owner-occupied home, the loan amount can be increased by 20% on top of the available loan amount, but not exceeding the citys maximum provident fund loan limit. Third, it increases the upward adjustment ratio for loans to purchase green buildings. For employees who contribute to the housing provident fund and purchase commercial housing that meets the national standard for two-star green building or has been identified as a prefabricated building project, the loan amount can be increased by 20% on the basis of the available loan amount, but shall not exceed the maximum limit of housing provident fund loans in our city; for those who purchase commercial housing that meets the national standard for three-star green building, the loan amount can be increased by 30% on the basis of the available loan amount, but shall not exceed the maximum limit of housing provident fund loans in our city.CEO of chemical company Fertiglobe: Nitrogen fertilizer prices may rise further.Market news: The U.S. State Department announced the suspension of all consular services in Iraq and stated that some factions within the Iraqi government are providing cover for "Iranian-allian-linked Iraqi terrorist militias."April 20 - The Japan Meteorological Agency revised the magnitude of the earthquake that struck the northeastern coastal region of Japan to 7.7 and the depth to 20 kilometers.On April 20th, the Guangdong Provincial Party Committees Financial and Economic Affairs Commission held a meeting to analyze the economic situation in the first quarter and to plan and promote key projects for the next stage of economic work. Huang Kunming presided over the meeting, and Meng Fanli attended. The meeting emphasized the need to focus on the work in the second quarter and throughout the year, consolidating and expanding the positive momentum of the economy. It stressed the importance of comprehensively strengthening the foundation for industrial development, adhering to the principle of mutual promotion between industry and technology, and the coordinated development of manufacturing and service industries. This includes further strengthening pillar industries such as electronic information and new energy vehicles, accelerating the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries through technological innovation, brand cultivation, and standard leadership, strengthening the support of the service industry, and promoting the mutual achievement of a "manufacturing powerhouse" and a "service hub," thus better solidifying the "ballast stone" of the real economy. The meeting also emphasized the need to vigorously expand domestic and international markets, deepen the implementation of "Guangdong Trade Global," actively develop new forms and areas of foreign trade, and continue to successfully hold exhibitions such as the Canton Fair to better stabilize the international market.

S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 Stumbling on The Edge of a Cliff

Skylar Shaw

May 09, 2022 10:53


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The monthly US Jobs Report (NFP) will be announced at 12:30 UK today, with the market expecting 391k new jobs in April, down from 431k in March. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 3.5 percent, while average hourly earnings are expected to stay constant at 0.4 percent month over month. The US employment market is strong, and unless today's news disappoints, traders will continue to price in higher US interest rates, keeping the US dollar bought. Both John Williams and Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve will talk later today, and they may provide some further insight on the FOMC decision on Wednesday.

 

The 500 chart demonstrates how technical analysis may be useful even in turbulent times. The bullish hammer candle we saw on Monday led to a big comeback until yesterday's sell-off, while the resistance zone we saw around 4,300–4,310 maintained on Wednesday and Thursday. If 4,060 holds, the S&P 500 will have a chance to rebound in the near term; otherwise, 4,035 will come into play quite rapidly. Any efforts to go higher should be met with resistance in the 4,300–4,310 range. Volatility is still at an all-time high.

 

According to retail trader statistics, 68.09 percent of traders are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 2.13 to 1. The number of traders who are net-long is up 18.01 percent from yesterday and up 16.33 percent from last week, while those who are net-short is down 26.33 percent from yesterday and 14.60 percent from last week.


We usually take the other side of popular mood, and the fact that traders are net-long signals that the US 500 will continue to decline. Traders are more net-long today than they were yesterday and last week, and the combination of current mood and previous movements gives us a greater contrarian trading bias in the US 500.