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January 16th - According to sources familiar with the matter, Ford Motor Company is in talks with BYD regarding the supply of batteries for its overseas hybrid vehicles. Anonymous sources indicated that BYD is one of several battery suppliers Ford is in talks with. They stated that no deal has been reached yet. The negotiations reportedly aim to supply batteries for Fords expanding hybrid vehicle lineup to its international plants. Sources noted that hybrid vehicles produced at Fords overseas plants will be sold globally, including in the US market, but most hybrid vehicles sold in the US will still be produced at Fords North American plants. BYD has not yet responded. A Ford spokesperson stated that the company communicates with numerous companies on various matters and does not comment on rumors or speculation related to its business.On January 16th, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao stated in a recent interview that this year, my country will focus on key and potential sectors such as transportation, domestic services, performances, and sports events to actively cultivate new growth points in service consumption. This year, my country will also focus on new sectors and offline entities, optimizing the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. Support policies will be improved, unreasonable restrictive measures will be eliminated, and new growth points in service consumption will be actively cultivated. In 2026, the trade-in program for consumer goods will provide stronger support for green and intelligent products, requiring home appliances to meet first-level energy efficiency or water efficiency standards for trade-ins, and subsidies for new purchases will be included for smartwatches, smart bracelets, and smart glasses. We will also actively support offline physical retail, encouraging offline stores to leverage their comparative advantages, create diversified consumption scenarios, enhance the consumer experience, and promote balanced development between online and offline channels.January 16th - The US dollar is poised for its third consecutive weekly gain on Friday. This followed positive US economic data that reduced market expectations for a near-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The federal funds futures market has pushed back its expectation of the next rate cut to June, citing improved employment data and concerns from central bank policymakers about inflation. Capital Markets analyst Kyle Rodda wrote in a report, "The dollar has been relatively strong at the beginning of the year. Better-than-expected weekly US jobless claims and some manufacturing surveys have reduced the probability of an imminent Fed rate cut."On January 16th, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao stated in a recent interview that this year, my country will comprehensively promote trade in goods, services, and digital trade to stabilize foreign trade. Expanding diversified markets is crucial. We will successfully host important exhibitions such as the Canton Fair to attract more overseas buyers and increase support for enterprises participating in overseas exhibitions. We will guide the healthy and standardized development of new forms and models of foreign trade, such as cross-border e-commerce. my country has reached 23 free trade agreements with 30 countries and regions, and we will support and guide enterprises to make good use of these agreements to expand trade. This year, my country will also vigorously develop trade in services, improve the negative list management system for cross-border service trade, and orderly relax market access in the service sector. Following the principle of "one policy for one industry," we will promote the introduction of a series of more effective policies and measures to accelerate the export of productive services, encourage professional service institutions to improve their international service capabilities, and leverage innovation advantages in artificial intelligence, the digital economy, and biomedicine to expand the export of emerging services such as R&D, design, consulting, testing, and maintenance, thereby cultivating new growth points for foreign trade.On January 16, Chuanyi Technology stated on its interactive platform that the first phase of its sodium-ion battery project went into production in 2023, while the second phase is still under construction; the company currently has no cooperation with Unitree Technology.

S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100 Stumbling on The Edge of a Cliff

Skylar Shaw

May 09, 2022 10:53


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The monthly US Jobs Report (NFP) will be announced at 12:30 UK today, with the market expecting 391k new jobs in April, down from 431k in March. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 3.5 percent, while average hourly earnings are expected to stay constant at 0.4 percent month over month. The US employment market is strong, and unless today's news disappoints, traders will continue to price in higher US interest rates, keeping the US dollar bought. Both John Williams and Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve will talk later today, and they may provide some further insight on the FOMC decision on Wednesday.

 

The 500 chart demonstrates how technical analysis may be useful even in turbulent times. The bullish hammer candle we saw on Monday led to a big comeback until yesterday's sell-off, while the resistance zone we saw around 4,300–4,310 maintained on Wednesday and Thursday. If 4,060 holds, the S&P 500 will have a chance to rebound in the near term; otherwise, 4,035 will come into play quite rapidly. Any efforts to go higher should be met with resistance in the 4,300–4,310 range. Volatility is still at an all-time high.

 

According to retail trader statistics, 68.09 percent of traders are net-long, with a long-to-short ratio of 2.13 to 1. The number of traders who are net-long is up 18.01 percent from yesterday and up 16.33 percent from last week, while those who are net-short is down 26.33 percent from yesterday and 14.60 percent from last week.


We usually take the other side of popular mood, and the fact that traders are net-long signals that the US 500 will continue to decline. Traders are more net-long today than they were yesterday and last week, and the combination of current mood and previous movements gives us a greater contrarian trading bias in the US 500.