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On July 9th, Dong Lijuan, Chief Statistician of the Urban Division of the National Bureau of Statistics, interpreted the CPI and PPI data for June 2026. On a month-on-month basis, the national CPI decreased by 0.3%. Affected by fluctuations in international market prices, domestic gold jewelry and gasoline prices decreased by 8.7% and 4.9% respectively, with the declines widening by 5.9 and 4.6 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month. These combined contributed to a month-on-month decrease of approximately 0.22 percentage points in the CPI, an increase of approximately 0.19 percentage points in their downward pull on the CPI compared to the previous month. Food prices decreased by 0.4%, the same decline as the previous month, contributing to a month-on-month decrease of approximately 0.07 percentage points in the CPI. In the food sector, abundant seasonal fruits and vegetables led to ample market supply, resulting in a 1.0% and 2.0% decrease in fresh vegetable and fruit prices, respectively, contributing to a combined month-on-month decrease in CPI of approximately 0.06 percentage points. Pork and aquatic product prices decreased by 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively, contributing to a combined month-on-month decrease in CPI of approximately 0.02 percentage points. Meanwhile, low laying hen inventory, coupled with a decline in egg production due to high temperatures, led to a 7.0% increase in egg prices, contributing to a month-on-month increase in CPI of approximately 0.03 percentage points.On July 9th, former Bank of Japan official Tsutomu Watanabe stated on Wednesday that the Bank of Japan may accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes later this year, eventually pushing the benchmark interest rate above 2% to curb inflation. Watanabe said, "I believe the final peak of interest rates will be higher than most people currently expect. The terminal interest rate will be around 2%, or slightly higher." Watanabe added, "Policy should be thought about dynamically, not statically." He further stated that the terminal interest rate depends not only on the calculation of the neutral interest rate but also on factors such as inflation overshooting before the Bank of Japan explicitly tightens policy. Watanabe indicated that the authorities had previously adopted a "passive" policy approach, striving to achieve a virtuous cycle of wage increases driving demand-pull price increases. With underlying inflation approaching the 2% target, the committee may shift to a more proactive stance to prevent price overshooting. According to some local media reports at the time, Watanabe was among the potential candidates for Bank of Japan governor in 2023, alongside Ueda.On July 9, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) website disclosed that Nanjing ChipVision Microelectronics Technology Co., Ltd. completed its pre-IPO counseling registration with the Jiangsu Securities Regulatory Bureau on July 8, 2026, and plans to conduct an initial public offering (IPO) and list on the stock exchange.On July 9th, the highest 7-day annualized yield of Tencent Wealth Managements "Current Account +" was 1.1730%, and the lowest was 0.7110%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of WeChat Pays "Lingqian Tong" was 1.0060%, and the lowest was 0.9360%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of Alipays "Yuebao" was 1.0140%, and the lowest was 1.0010%.RoboSense announced that its total LiDAR sales reached 719,200 units in the first half of 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 169.6%. Among them, LiDAR sales in the robotics field reached 282,600 units, a significant year-on-year increase of 510.4%; and LiDAR sales in the ADAS field reached 436,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 98.0%.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 E-mini Contract Spikes After CPI

Florala Chen

Dec 14, 2022 14:32

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The lower-than-expected CPI statistics caused the S&P 500 E-mini contract to soar quite a little during Tuesday's trading session. As a result, it appears like the market is attempting to price in a weaker monetary policy. At the end of the day, we still need to consider the Federal Reserve meeting that will take place on Wednesday. The statement from that meeting will undoubtedly have a significant impact on what occurs next.


In the end, it appears that the market swiftly reconsidered the entire scenario after realizing that the chairman of the Federal Reserve will likely attempt to reduce risk appetite. In spite of being lower than expected, the CPI statistic is still a scorching 7.1% year-over-year. Since that is still unsatisfactory, I believe the Fed will try to take some action to reduce risk appetite and, as a result, lower inflation.

The market might attempt to breach the 4200 level, though, if Jerome Powell fumbles the conference, which is a possibility. As we approach the end of the year, things could spiral out of control due to that area's likely "melt up" in the S&P 500 and, of course, a shortage of liquidity. All things being equal, we are at a key turning point for the upcoming few months, and tomorrow, Jerome Powell will be in the spotlight. Over the coming sessions, if we decline below the 50-Day EMA, it might trigger a significant breach.