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The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission has announced a recall of approximately 10,500 Powerwall 2 AC battery storage systems by Tesla. The company has received 22 reports of overheating, but no injuries have been reported.The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission has recalled Tesla (TSLA.O) Powerwall 2 AC battery power systems due to a fire and combustion hazard.On November 13th, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Mary Daly acknowledged that the Feds balance sheet has faced considerable criticism. She believes this makes clear communication about the Feds actions and intentions regarding its bond holdings particularly important. Daly stated, "The public is often unclear about why central bank balance sheets change. This makes communication crucial, requiring acknowledging their multiple uses and, where possible, identifying how each use drives balance sheet growth." Her comments come as the Fed nears the end of its three-year balance sheet reduction program and faces the potential need to resume bond purchases—not to stimulate the economy, but to align the supply of bank reserves with the needs of the financial system.On November 13th, Marc Cogliatti, an analyst at Validus Risk Management, stated in a report that the US dollar will continue to face weakness in the medium to long term. He believes that despite a decline since President Trump took office in January, the dollar remains overvalued. Trump has also been advocating for significant interest rate cuts. Although this has not yet materialized, concerns about the Federal Reserves independence have weighed on market sentiment. Furthermore, he stated that the ever-expanding deficit has long been a potential destabilizing factor in the US debt market. He said that while markets rarely move in straight lines and experience periods of consolidation, any recovery in the dollar is likely to be short-lived.U.S. stocks opened lower on Thursday, potentially ending a four-day winning streak as investors grappled with the lack of U.S. economic data despite the end of the government shutdown. Carol Schleif, chief market strategist at BMO Private Wealth, said the government reopening was a "positive" for the market. "If the government resumes operations and economic data starts being released, we wouldnt be surprised by market volatility in the coming weeks." Thursdays decline came as traders focused on the December Federal Reserve meeting, reducing their bets on a rate cut. Collins indicated she prefers to "keep rates stable for a period" to balance inflation and employment risks. Bostic also stated that inflation remains a clearer risk to the U.S. economy. "With the end of the U.S. government shutdown and the continued hawkish repricing expected by the Fed, the market struggled to gain momentum this morning," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 E-mini Contract Sits on 50-Day EMA

Alice Wang

Dec 13, 2022 17:28


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Since a few days ago, the S&P 500 E-mini contract has been trading on the 50-Day, and Monday was no exception. We are currently squeezed between the 200-Day EMA above and the 50-Day EMA below. You can see from this chart that the 50-Day EMA might enter the picture and provide some support, but we still need to get through a few big announcements in the coming days.


The Consumer Price Index, which will be released on Tuesday, will be the first one. Inflation is monitored closely by the central bankers in the United States, making it a highly significant indicator. Following that, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, which will undoubtedly have an impact of its own. The ECB must now be taken into consideration, even if it will have less of an impact than the Fed at this stage.


We must now begin to worry about liquidity at this stage. Fund managers may use some window dressing at the end of the year to attempt to convince all of their customers that they possess the proper assets, but there will also be buyback blackouts, which will prevent businesses from repurchasing their own stock. In that case, a significant stock buyer may have just left.


Because of this, I believe that the possibility of a move lower than higher is greater than it is for a move higher. However, as of right now, I don't believe that there will be a significant move between now and New Year's Day.