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June 17th - According to foreign media reports on the 16th, the memorandum of understanding reached between the United States and Iran includes a $300 billion private fund aimed at stimulating investment in Iran, with more than half of the amount already pledged. The report, citing sources, stated that the fund aims to "provide economic incentives for both sides to facilitate a final agreement," and is a "private investment vehicle" that does not include any government funds or grants. Currently, companies headquartered in the United States, Gulf states, and Asia, South America, and Africa have pledged funds, covering sectors such as energy, logistics, manufacturing, and transportation.① Iran 1. The Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Hatem-Anbia, accused Israel of violating the Lebanese ceasefire agreement 84 times in the past two days and warned that Iran would respond militarily if the violations continued. 2. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Hezbollah in Lebanon has performed very strongly in the recent war, and Hezbollah will never be destroyed. ② United States 1. Israeli media: Some US refueling aircraft have begun to withdraw from Israel. 2. Reports indicate that the US military is secretly transshipping Gulf oil following Irans model. 3. Reports indicate that the US will allow Iran to immediately resume oil export sales. 4. Trump: We are not in a hurry to acquire (Irans) nuclear materials. When the time is right, we will destroy Irans nuclear materials. ③ Israel 1. Israel Defense Forces: The Air Force intercepted rockets launched from Lebanon. 2. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons regardless of whether an agreement is reached. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: The US has lifted its blockade against Iran to some extent. 2. US intelligence agencies: Iran still has the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz again. 3. Iranian Vice President: Tehran will maintain control of the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Trump says US-Iran agreement negotiations have entered the second phase. 2. Saudi media releases the terms of the 14-point US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf states that Israel must withdraw its troops from Lebanon. 4. US Vice President Vance: No US funds will be provided to Iran. 5. Israeli media: Israel requested to see the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding documents but was refused. 6. The US-Iran framework agreement proposes a $300 billion private fund, which will not involve government funds. 7. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokespersons Advisor: Irans missile program and its support for regional allies are not negotiable. 8. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: Ghalibaf will attend the signing ceremony of the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding. The next phase of negotiations will discuss nuclear issues including uranium enrichment, nuclear stockpiles, and Irans nuclear needs. 9. Trump: The Lebanon conflict is a small war and will not affect the Iran agreement; the Iran agreement explicitly prohibits Iran from possessing nuclear weapons; the full text of the agreement will be released soon, and he may even read it word for word on camera. 10. Hezbollahs media liaison office stated that Hezbollah has received a commitment from Iran that Iran will not sign a final nuclear agreement with the United States unless Israel withdraws its troops from Lebanon. 11. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: We will discuss the nuclear issue in the final stage of negotiations. The end of the Lebanon war is a necessary condition for the end of the war with Iran.Market news: ExxonMobil will supply liquefied natural gas to South Africa to help the country reduce its reliance on coal.According to sources familiar with the matter, Amazon (AMZN.O) may face a lawsuit from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission for allegedly misleading advertisers, and could face billions of dollars in civil penalties.U.S. API crude oil production for the week ending June 12 decreased by 17,000 barrels per day, compared to 262,000 barrels per day in the previous week.

S&P 500 Continues to Threaten a Breakout

Alice Wang

Jul 20, 2022 14:50

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As we continue to pose a serious danger of a large breakthrough, the S&P 500 has surged pretty considerably throughout Tuesday's trading session.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the continued loud behavior, the S&P 500 has shown its bullishness throughout Tuesday's trading session. Given that the 3900 region runs all the way to 3950, this market will likely continue to be highly loud. Additionally, the 50 Day EMA is also nearing this region, and earnings season is already underway. Or, to put it another way, it's a jumble of issues waiting to happen.


Short-sellers will almost certainly seize on signs of tiredness because, to be honest, the economics does not indicate that this market should rise. Additionally, there are significant issues with liquidity, so you must pay great attention to it as well. Even if the economy does have some impact on the stock market, it really really comes down to liquidity, thus the Federal Reserve's restrictive monetary policy will also have some negative effects.


Wall Street has been pretending for a while now that the US economy has improved, so when it genuinely struggles, it should not come as a major surprise that they are trying to drive the market higher. Keep in mind that Wall Street and the economy are unrelated in any way. Having said that, we have a chance to advance all the way to the 4200 level if we do break over the 4000 level. I believe the trend has shifted above that point.


Alternately, if we go below the 3700 level, it's likely that we will reach the 3640 level, which previously served as a support zone.