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US President Trump: The war with Iran could last another two to three weeks.① Iran 1. Iranian media: Iran has no plans to attack the UAE. 2. Iranian military official: The fire at the UAE oil facilities was caused by a US military adventure. 3. Senior Iranian official denied US claims of sinking several small boats. 4. Iran warned the UAE not to be a pawn of Israel. 5. Iranian media: The warning issued by the Iranian Army Commander to the US aircraft carrier came from a fake account. ② United States 1. Bessant: If the Iranians want to escalate the situation, the US is willing to escalate it as well. 2. Trump claimed the US sank 7 small Iranian boats, while US Central Command Commander Cooper claimed 6. 3. US Central Command Commander: More ships are preparing to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. 4. Trump: If Iran attacks US warships, it will be "wiped off the face of the earth." 5. US intelligence agencies: Recent fighting has not significantly impacted Irans nuclear program. 6. US media: Trump did not explicitly state that Iran has violated the ceasefire agreement. ③ Israel 1. Israeli officials said Israel is ready to return to fighting and is waiting for the US to "give the green light." 2. Israeli media reported that Israel raised its alert level on the 4th. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran denies any merchant ships or oil tankers have passed through the strait. 2. US Central Command: Two merchant ships flying the US flag have passed through the Strait of Hormuz. 3. A spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that ships violating the regulations in the Strait of Hormuz "will be forcibly intercepted." 4. British maritime authorities reported that three ships were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. 5. Trump called on South Korea to join the Strait of Hormuz operation. 6. Maersk: Ships flying the US flag passed through the Strait of Hormuz under US escort. 7. French President Macron: France will not participate in the new US "Hormuz Plan." 8. Commander of US Central Command: Iran used missiles to strike merchant ships and US warships. The current focus is on getting ships out of the Strait of Hormuz, and then gradually considering allowing ships to enter the Strait of Hormuz. 9. According to Irans Mizan News Agency: A senior Iranian security source said that Irans message is clear: if the Americans attempt to advance in the Strait of Hormuz, they will become targets. ⑥ Other Situations: 1. The UAE Ministry of Defense stated that it intercepted more than ten Iranian missiles and several drones on the 4th. 2. The UAE suffered its first attack since the temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran, with three people injured in the Fujairah oil industrial area. 3. The Lebanese President stated that the timing for a meeting with the Israeli Prime Minister is not yet ripe. 4. Israel claims to have attacked Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, while Hezbollah claims to have attacked Israeli military gathering points. 5. The hacker group "Handala" claimed responsibility for a cyberattack on the port of Fujairah in the UAE. 6. According to Israeli media Kann, the Chairman of the UAE Defense Council told his Israeli counterpart that the UAE would retaliate against Iran. 7. The U.S. State Departments Bureau of Consular Affairs: Our travel advisory for the UAE remains at Level 3.May 5th - According to three sources familiar with the matter, US intelligence assessments indicate that the timeline for Iran to develop nuclear weapons has remained unchanged since last summer. At that time, analysts estimated that the joint US-Israeli strikes had delayed this timeline by up to a year. This unchanged timeline suggests that effectively stopping Irans nuclear program may require the destruction or removal of Irans remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium (HEU). The sources stated that US intelligence agencies concluded before the 12-day war in June of last year that Iran was likely to produce enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon within three to six months. Following the June airstrikes, US intelligence assessments pushed this timeline back to approximately nine months to a year.According to the Wall Street Journal, "Big Short" Michael Burry has sold off his entire stake in GameStop (GME.N), after GameStop announced its intention to acquire eBay (EBAY.O).Bank of Canada Governor Macklem: With Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Warsh now serving as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, I believe the Feds culture and behavior will continue as they have been.

Prior to U.S. Inflation and Fed Minutes, Gold Held Below $1,700

Skylar Williams

Oct 12, 2022 11:42

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In anticipation of this week's crucial U.S. inflation statistics and the minutes from the Federal Reserve's September meeting, investors avoided placing major wagers on gold prices on Wednesday.


As of 19:29 EDT, spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,664.82 per ounce, while gold futures fell $2 to $1,674.45 per ounce (23:29 GMT). After a sharp fall to begin the week, neither instrument moved significantly on Tuesday.


As the dollar has strengthened and the Federal Reserve has put out more hawkish signals, gold prices have slipped back below the crucial support level of $1,700. The minutes from the Federal Reserve's September meeting, expected later in the day, are also expected to bolster the Fed's stance, given that the central bank raised interest rates by 75 basis points and warned that it was willing to risk some economic headwinds from higher rates in order to control inflation.


This week, the U.S. inflation report for September is also a big focus for metal markets. On Wednesday afternoon, producer price inflation data is anticipated to indicate that manufacturers continued to confront price headwinds last month.


The most frequently studied inflation indicator, consumer price inflation, is expected to show that inflation remained near 40-year highs last month when it is reported on Thursday. Together with last week's impressive employment report, these figures are expected to give the Fed with adequate reason to continue hiking interest rates rapidly.


Rising global interest rates have increased the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal, which has resulted in a decline in gold prices this year. This trend is projected to persist so long as inflation remains elevated.


This year, the dwindling demand for bullion stripped it of its role as a safe-haven, with the dollar generally outperforming gold and other precious metals.


Among industrial metals, copper prices stayed basically constant around $3.4227 per pound. As Chinese markets resumed trading following an extended hiatus, the price of the precious metal increased.


As a result of the recurrence of COVID incidents in China, markets are becoming increasingly wary of any new lockdown measures that could potentially reduce demand. In addition, the Communist Party's 20th National Congress this week will focus on the introduction of any significant stimulus measures.


Friday's Chinese inflation and trade data will provide additional evidence of a possible economic recovery.