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On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.On October 25th, the U.S. federal government shutdown entered its 24th day. More and more federal employees forced to take unpaid leave are facing the dilemma of not being able to pay their bills or mortgages, and many are forced to queue up at food banks for assistance. Jacobs, president of the local CDC union, stated that both parties are using the livelihoods of federal employees as bargaining chips in political negotiations, and that the current chaotic situation is unprecedented.On October 25, Lizhong Group responded to investors on an interactive platform, saying that the second phase of the companys project to produce 3.6 million ultra-lightweight aluminum alloy wheels annually in Mexico, with an output of 1.8 million wheels, has now been put into initial production. The company is actively promoting the running-in of the production line and the release of production capacity, striving to achieve the goal of full production and sales as soon as possible.

Oil prices increase despite uncertainties on the amount of a U.S. interest rate hike

Haiden Holmes

Jul 15, 2022 10:37

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Concerns over the Federal Reserve's aggressiveness in raising interest rates to combat excessive inflation led to a spike in oil prices in early Asian trading on Friday.


At 00:07 GMT, Brent crude futures for September delivery jumped 80 cents, or 0.8%, to $99.90 per barrel, while WTI crude futures rose 69 cents, or 0.7%, to $96.47 per barrel.


The most hawkish Fed officials suggested on Thursday that they prefer another 75-basis-point interest rate rise at the U.S. central bank's policy meeting this month, as opposed to the greater rate hike that traders had priced in following Wednesday's inflation report.


The Fed rate rise is expected to follow the 100-basis-point increase by the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, which shocked the market.


A day before Russia attacked Ukraine in what Moscow termed a "special military operation," both benchmark futures fell below the closing price of February 23 on Thursday, as a result of rate hike uncertainty and terrible economic figures. By the conclusion of the trading day, Brent and WTI had recovered nearly all of their losses.


Joe Biden will go to Saudi Arabia on Friday to attend a summit of Gulf allies and encourage them to raise oil output.


The bulk of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries producers are producing at maximum capacity, and it is uncertain how much extra oil Saudi Arabia can send to the market quickly.