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On May 4th, German Chancellor Merz stated on May 3rd that the recent US decision to reduce its troop presence in Germany was "unrelated" to his criticisms of the war with Iran. Speaking on German television channel ARD, Merz said he was not surprised by the US governments decision to reduce troop levels, adding, "What weve heard these past few days isnt all new. The situation may have indeed escalated somewhat, but this is not a new development." Merz stated that he would not abandon cooperation with US President Trump, saying, "For us, the United States remains the most important partner in NATO." He emphasized that the USs nuclear sharing arrangements have not been reduced in any way, and there are no restrictions on the US commitment to providing nuclear deterrence to the NATO region. Merz also stated that the Tomahawk cruise missiles promised by the US in 2024 will not be deployed in Germany for the time being, because "the Americans dont even have enough for themselves right now."According to the Financial Times, several banks, including JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, are looking to shift risk to avoid being “overwhelmed” by data center debt.On May 4th, an Al Jazeera reporter pointed out that regardless of what is currently being discussed at the negotiating table, Iranians and Americans are speaking two different languages. What we are seeing may simply be negotiations to maintain dialogue, but this does not guarantee that unexpected events will not occur, triggering a new round of intense conflict. He believes that the differences between the two sides are difficult to bridge. When the US sets "surrender" as its bottom line, while Iran rejects any proposals that approach this situation, he sees no substance in the negotiations. However, the current situation presents a two-way pressure scenario: the US is pressuring the Iranian economy, while Iran is pressuring the global economy. It remains to be seen who will back down first. The risk now is that this situation, perceived as pressure from both sides, could escalate into a stalemate. In this scenario, war would once again loom, especially if Israel were to intervene to break the deadlock.According to Israeli media outlet Ynet, Israel is preparing for an escalation of the situation and has expressed skepticism about the US strategy of containing Iran.On May 4th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held separate meetings with the Prime Ministers of Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, and the Czech Republic in Yerevan, the capital of Armenia, on May 3rd. During his meeting with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is willing to launch the next round of trilateral negotiations, with achieving a just and dignified peace being its core demand. Zelenskyy and Starmer also discussed support for Ukraines energy sector. Zelenskyy briefed Starmer on the situation on the front lines and the Russian attacks on Ukraine, emphasizing the need for a unified European air defense system.

Oil prices decrease as speculators believe that Federal Reserve rate hikes will reduce demand

Charlie Brooks

Jun 24, 2022 12:04

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Oil prices fell by more than $2 a barrel on Thursday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's latest comments fueled worries that rising interest rates in the United States could hinder economic growth.


Brent oil futures settled at $1100.05 a barrel, a decrease of $1.69 or 1.5%. Futures contracts for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $104.27 a barrel, representing a loss of $1.92, or 1.8 percent.


Powell indicated that the Fed's objective of managing inflation was "unconditional" and that the strength of the job market was unsustainable, statements that fanned fears of more rate hikes.


Investors have lowered their exposure to risky assets as they assess whether inflation-fighting central banks' interest rate hikes may trigger a worldwide recession.


"If the United States and the rest of the world enter a recession, you might have a significant impact on demand," said Houston energy analyst Andrew Lipow.


In addition, Robert Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York, feels that the high price of gasoline may be beginning to reduce demand.


"This has entered the conversation," Yawger said, adding that he felt fuel costs still had the ability to rise. AAA states that the current average retail price for a gallon of gasoline in the United States is $4.94, approximately 10 cents less than its all-time high.


According to a source with knowledge of the discussions, major U.S. oil refiners and Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm left an emergency meeting with no concrete proposals to reduce prices, but with a commitment to work together.


Yawger noted that the most current estimates from the American Petroleum Institute suggested a rise in crude and gasoline inventories in the United States last week, which also weighed on pricing.


Official weekly estimates of U.S. oil inventories were scheduled to be released on Thursday, but technical challenges would delay the release until next week, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which did not offer an exact date.


In an effort to cut oil prices and inflation, OPEC and allied producing nations, including Russia, will likely adhere to a plan for quick output increases, according to sources.


At its last meeting on June 2, the group known as OPEC+ agreed to increase production by 648,000 barrels per day in July, or 7 percent of global demand, and by the same amount in August, an increase from the initial plan to increase production by 432,000 barrels per day per month for three months until September.