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On November 16th, according to the Finnish newspaper Helsingin Sanomat, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Rehn stated that the risk of slowing inflation should not be ignored. Low energy prices, a stronger euro, and declining wage and service sector inflation all suggest that overall inflation may be excessively below the ECBs 2% target. When asked if the ECB might cut interest rates again in December, Rehn said, "This risk cannot be underestimated." However, he also cautioned against the potential for rising inflation. Rehn stated that despite the Trump administrations tariff policies disrupting global trade, the Eurozone economy has shown resilience. Rehn also warned that the stock market "clearly faces the risk of a correction," emphasizing the importance of bank capital buffers. Driven by the US artificial intelligence boom, current stock prices appear high relative to the performance of the real economy and corporate profits. This requires caution.On November 16th, it was reported that the United States and Trinidad and Tobago are about to conduct military exercises in waters near the coast of Venezuelas Sucre state. On November 15th, Venezuelan President Maduro strongly condemned the exercises, calling the action "irresponsible" and a "threat" to peace in the Caribbean. Maduro stated that such actions are intended to put pressure on Venezuela, but Venezuela "will not be threatened by anyone." Recently, Trinidad and Tobagos Attorney General John Jeremy stated that the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit will be "intensifying exercises" in the country "in the coming days."1. Hungarian Prime Minister: Europe is on the brink of war. 2. Ukraine claims 1,200 Ukrainian prisoners will be released; Russia has not yet responded. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops have taken control of the Yablokovo settlement in Zaporizhia. 4. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has ordered a comprehensive reform of state-owned energy companies. 5. According to RIA Novosti: The situation remains stable after an external power line to the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant was shut down. 6. Southern Ukrainian Defense Forces: Ukrainian troops have conducted a tactical withdrawal from the town of Novovasilivsk in the Zaporizhia region. 7. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: A Russian oil refinery in Ryazan Oblast was attacked by Ukrainian forces; the refinery produces 840,000 tons of aviation fuel and other military fuels annually. 8. Russian Ministry of Defense: 247 Ukrainian drones were shot down in the past 24 hours. A Ukrainian military airport and energy facility related to the defense industry were attacked. 9. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Ukrainian forces struck the Sky-U radar station in Crimea, a military train in the Tokmok region of Zaporizhzhia, and a Russian troop assembly point in Volchansk, Kharkiv region.On November 16, the Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a phone conversation on November 15, during which they had in-depth exchanges on the situation in the Middle East, including developments in the Gaza Strip, Irans nuclear program, and the situation in Syria.On November 15th, a Federal Reserve official revealed that former Federal Reserve Governor Kugler resigned abruptly because Federal Reserve Chairman Powell refused to grant her an exemption from handling financial assets that violated the Feds code of ethics. The official stated that Kugler was under investigation by the Feds internal oversight body for recent financial reporting issues before her resignation in August. Documents released on Saturday show that officials at the Feds Office of Ethics refused to approve Kuglers latest financial reporting materials and referred the matter to the Feds Office of the Inspector General. These reporting materials, published on the website of the U.S. Government Office of Ethics, indicate details of her financial activities that allegedly violated the Feds internal code of ethics. Kugler announced her resignation on August 1st, effective August 8th, without specifying a reason.

Oil Prices Extend Gains on Optimism Regarding Chinese Demand

Skylar Williams

Nov 14, 2022 15:07

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China dropped parts of its strict COVID-19 protocols, boosting optimism for a resurgence in economic activity and demand in the world's top petroleum importer.


Brent crude futures rose 87 cents, or 0.9%, to $96.86 a barrel as of 00:41 GMT on Saturday.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude were up 80 cents, or 0.9%, at $89.76 per barrel.


China's National Health Commission changed COVID prevention and control techniques on Friday. This weekend, COVID instances rose in China.


"This policy change will help mitigate adverse expectations of a sustained restricted approach to onshore activity," said SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes. "But it does not alleviate the immediate demand impact from existing lockdowns."


The limitations were eased by reducing quarantine periods for close contacts of cases and inbound travelers by two days and eliminating a penalty for airlines that carried ill passengers.


"The latest loosening of quarantine regulations is a step in the right direction," ING stated, "but the market will likely need additional easing if this optimism is to be sustained."


In December, Chinese refiners requested less oil from the world's top oil supplier, Saudi Arabia.


Separately, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said India can buy as much Russian oil as it wants, even at prices above a G7-imposed price restriction, as long as it avoids Western insurance, finance, and maritime services.


Stronger dollar capped oil price hikes.


Christopher Waller, governor of the U.S. Federal Reserve, said bad economic data would be needed to pause interest rate hikes that have boosted the dollar and lowered commodity prices.


Joe Biden and Xi Jinping will meet for the first time since Biden's inauguration in Bali before the G20 summit.