• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The French presidential palace stated that President Macrons attendance at the Franco-Italian summit will help deepen cooperation between the two countries in areas such as energy and defense.Britains new defense secretary: Investment plans are still being finalized.On June 12th, Morgan Stanley economist Bruna Skarica noted in a report that UK monthly GDP appears to be benefiting again from strong performance in the white-collar services sector, particularly the information and communications technology (ICT) industry. She pointed out that output in this sector is currently up 6.7% year-on-year, and has grown by 45.4% since the fourth quarter of 2019, while the overall economy has only grown by 6% during the same period. "It seems far from a coincidence that the sector most vulnerable to the rapid spread of artificial intelligence is simultaneously driving GDP growth and productivity gains," Skarica added. Given that the Bank of England stated last year that structural productivity growth in the UK was negative, the bank should comment further on this this year.On June 12th, HSBC analysts noted in a report that the US dollar is currently trading below levels implied by market expectations of US interest rates. They stated that the dollars reaction has been limited as recent market expectations have shifted from anticipated rate cuts to possible rate hikes. They believe this may reflect the loose financial environment in the US and market expectations for a resolution to the Middle East conflict. They added that the dollar needs clear stimulus from monetary policy. If the Federal Reserve fails to support rate hike expectations at next weeks meeting, the dollar "could be in trouble."On June 12th, analysts at Nomura Securities stated in a report that the Bank of England is likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in July to avoid the risk of a second wave of inflation. However, with inflation risks diminishing, they believe the Bank of England is likely to resume rate cuts in 2027. LSEG data shows that investors expect a 34% probability of a rate hike by the Bank of England in July.

Oil Prices Continue to Fall in Early Trade

Aria Thomas

Apr 11, 2022 09:33

O2.png


The market has been closely following events in China, where authorities have confined Shanghai, a metropolis of 26 million people, to a "zero tolerance" policy for COVID-19. China is the world's largest importer of oil.


The International Energy Agency's (IEA) member states will release 60 million barrels over the next six months, with the US matching that amount as part of the 180 million barrel release announced in March.


The publication might also prevent producers, notably OPEC and US shale producers, from pursuing production increases even at prices around $100 a barrel, ANZ Research analysts said in a report.


However, the OPEC+ group of oil exporting countries has shown no sign of increasing its production objectives beyond the 400,000 barrels per day added monthly as part of the reinstatement of supply limits.


The IEA release would provide around 2 million barrels per day of supply for the next two months – plus an additional 1 million barrels per day from the United States for the next four months. It is unknown if this will compensate for the shortage of Russian oil after that country's invasion of Ukraine.


Russia's oil and gas condensate output declined to 10.52 million barrels per day (bpd) in April from an average of 11.01 million bpd in March.