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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

Oil Continues to Decline as Demand Concerns Outweigh OPEC+ Cut

Aria Thomas

Sep 07, 2022 11:02

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On Wednesday, oil prices declined further, wiping away all of the week's gains, as fears over slow crude demand overshadowed what was viewed as a minimal supply cut by OPEC+.


Brent oil futures traded in London declined 0.5% to $92.39 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures declined 0.5% to $86.41 per barrel as of 20:29 ET (00:29 GMT). On Tuesday, both contracts declined by 3% and 2.4%, respectively.


New COVID lockdowns in China look to be the most worrisome factor for crude consumption, considering China's substantial oil imports. The government just extended the lockdown in Chengdu, a city in the southwest of China.


Later in the day, Chinese trade data is anticipated to shed further light on the nation's crude consumption.


In addition, the strength of the U.S. currency due to rising expectations of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighs on oil prices. A rising dollar increases the cost of importing crude, which has a knock-on effect on demand.


Given the recent fall of the rupee and rupiah, major importers like India and Indonesia are already under pressure to reduce their crude demand.


A 100,000-barrel-per-day production cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) was mostly overshadowed by concerns over sluggish demand and a strong dollar. The number represents 0.1% of daily worldwide demand and was largely regarded as symbolic. Even still, oil prices rose momentarily in response to the cut.


Saudi Arabia, the chairman of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), had pledged to maintain petroleum prices by reducing production.


Additional oil production from Russia, which has pledged to expand exports to Asia in reaction to U.S. and European price limitations, is also anticipated to impact crude prices.


As winter approaches, it is anticipated that the demand for U.S. crude oil would decrease as well. However, gasoline demand in the United States has increased in recent weeks as fuel costs have declined.


After Russia cut off a key gas supply to the European Union, a building energy crisis in Europe is projected to raise oil consumption this winter. In the fourth quarter, several members of the bloc are likely to switch to heating oil.