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US judge: Bank of America (BAC.N) has reached a "settlement in principle" with the civil lawsuit brought by the plaintiffs in the Jeffrey Epstein case.March 16 – Following last weeks agreement to release a record amount of emergency oil reserves, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that it could provide even more reserves if needed. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said, "The IEAs swift action has had a stabilizing effect on the market. However, while our inventory releases are currently providing a buffer, this is not a long-term solution." Birol emphasized that for the oil and gas industry, "the most important thing" is to restore normal passage through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, which has been disrupted by the war in the Middle East. He stated that more oil is flowing into Asian markets, which are most dependent on oil supplies from the Middle East.The SC crude oil futures contract narrowed its losses to 4.26%, currently trading at 737.7 yuan per barrel, after previously falling by more than 7%.The BBC filed a motion in a Florida federal court on Monday seeking to dismiss US President Donald Trumps $10 billion defamation lawsuit.On March 16th, a $10 million profit was realized from an options trade targeting short-term interest rates, driven by this months sharp rise in oil prices and a downward revision of market expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve. This bet, placed in January in the form of options related to the overnight funding rate, which is closely correlated with the Feds policy direction, was reflected in the CME Groups positioning data covering Fridays trading, released Monday. The data showed that selling of the options at the end of last week matched the profit-taking on the position. This bet, which existed before the outbreak of war in the Middle East, indicated that the Feds interest rates would be higher by mid-2028 than was generally expected in January. The bet turned profitable last week as the conflict caused oil prices to rise to their highest level since 2022, raising concerns about inflation and prompting traders to expect the Fed to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period.

NZD/USD falls toward 0.6100 as Vice President Joe Biden aims to raise taxes on the rich and China's CPI is in focus

Daniel Rogers

Mar 09, 2023 14:01

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The NZD/USD pair was unable to recapture the crucial resistance level of 0.6120 during the Asian session. The New Zealand dollar is falling toward the round-number support of 0.6100 as the news that US President Joe Biden has proposed increasing the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% has bolstered bearish market sentiment.

 

US Vice President Joseph Biden proposes a 25% tax on billionaires and steep levies on affluent investors. He has also proposed a 39.6% tax on incomes over $400,000 in the budget. The United States' fiscal policy appears to be kicking in to prevent the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from flexing its muscles further. By diminishing market liquidity, higher taxes may have a significant effect on consumer spending.

 

As a consequence of the news that wealthy Americans will be taxed more heavily, the S&P 500 futures are also under duress. The futures for the 500 largest U.S. stocks are falling during the Asian session. It appears that market participants will use Wednesday's insignificant recovery move as a selling opportunity.

 

In response to Vice President Biden's proposal for higher tariffs, the US Dollar Index (DXY) may experience some upward movement. The USD Index is presently hovering above 105.20 and is anticipated to resume its upward trend.

 

This week, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will remain in the spotlight. According to the consensus, the US economy added 203K new employment in February, which is less than the previous record-breaking release of 517K. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.4%. Investors are concerned about the Average Hourly Earnings data, which is expected to increase to 4.8% on an annual basis from the previous release of 4.4%. An increase in the labor cost index will increase the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates more significantly (Fed).

 

Investors are keeping an eye on China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. China's CPI is anticipated to decrease to 1.9% from the previous annual rate of 2.1%. The monthly CPI is expected to decrease to 0.2% from the previous release of 0.8%. If inflation declines, the Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) may be forced to infuse more liquidity into the economy.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's primary trading partners, and an increase in liquidity in the Chinese economy will increase demand for the New Zealand Dollar.