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February 23 – The 9th Congress of the Workers Party of Korea continued on February 22. The meeting discussed and revised the Workers Party Constitution and elected members of the Central Leadership. The Congress expressed its full support for and endorsement of the proposal to re-elect Kim Jong Un to the highest position in the Workers Party of Korea, and elected him as General Secretary of the Workers Party of Korea. The meeting also elected members and alternate members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea. Kim Jong Un, Pak Thae Song, Jo Yong Won, Ri Il Hwan, and 139 others were elected as members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea.February 23 - Analysts say that as skepticism surrounding artificial intelligence grows, Wall Street is increasingly worried that the chip giants earnings this week will drag down its stock price. Nvidias stock has been trading sideways for months, rising only 1.7% since the beginning of the fourth quarter of last year, slightly below the S&P 500s 3.3% gain over the same period. Nvidias recent lackluster performance is largely due to increased investor concerns about spending hundreds of billions of dollars on AI development, leading to capital outflows from large-cap tech stocks. However, the stock market also faces numerous external risks, including geopolitical instability and reduced expectations of interest rate cuts. All of this puts Nvidia in a delicate position when it releases its fourth-quarter and fiscal year results on Wednesday. Investors expect its results to far exceed Wall Street expectations and raise forecasts for the coming quarters. But the company may have little to do or say to drive a meaningful rise in its stock price. Nvidias stock price has fallen after its last two earnings releases.February 23 - On February 22, local time, Greenlands Prime Minister Jens-Frederic Nielsen stated on social media that Greenland has no intention of accepting a hospital ship that US President Trump planned to send to the island. Nielsen posted on Facebook that day, "The answer here is: No, thank you." He stated that Greenlanders enjoy free healthcare, a system that is a "basic component" of local society, "unlike the United States, where you have to pay for medical care."February 23 – The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that its foreign minister and Iraqi foreign minister held a telephone conversation on Sunday evening. During the call, they reviewed and discussed the latest regional and international situation. The Iranian foreign minister briefed Iraq on the progress of the Iran-US nuclear negotiations. The Iraqi foreign minister emphasized Iraqs support for the ongoing diplomatic process and expressed hope that the ongoing talks would yield favorable results for Iran and bring peace and stability to the region.On February 23, local time, European Parliament International Trade Committee Chairman Alain Lange announced via social media that he would propose a suspension of the European Parliaments ratification of the EU-US trade agreement due to the "chaos" caused by the US Supreme Courts ruling that the US governments massive tariff policies were illegal. Lange stated that clear stipulations and legal certainty are needed before any further measures can be taken, and he will formally propose on the 23rd that the European Parliament temporarily freeze the ratification process of the trade agreement with the US until a proper legal assessment and clear commitment from the US are obtained. The EU-US trade agreement was reached last July, with the US imposing a 15% tariff on EU goods imported into the US.

NZD/USD drops to 0.6440 due to New Zealand's weakness Pre-Fed warning probes bears: HYEFU, RBNZ

Alina Haynes

Dec 14, 2022 11:36

NZD:USD.png 

 

In order to justify a new intraday low of 0.6440 on Wednesday morning, the New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) points to New Zealand's (NZ) poor Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU). The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) statements and the cautious atmosphere leading up to the important Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting, however, have put a damper on recent pair selling.

 

According to Reuters, the New Zealand Treasury expects the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to increase at a negative rate for three quarters of the current fiscal year 2023. (CY23). Additionally, according to the report, New Zealand will have a budget deficit of NZ$3.63 billion ($2.34 billion) for the fiscal year that ends on June 30, 2023, which is lower than the NZ$6.63 billion deficit forecast in the country's budget released in May.

 

The RBNZ crossed wires through Reuters after the negative announcements, saying that "Even with the predicted decline in the period ahead, it is envisaged that the level of employment will remain strong." The central bank of New Zealand also stated that both the current and expected rates of inflation must be kept under control.

 

However, it should be noted that recent worries coming from China, mostly because of internal and external pessimism on the Covid situation, seem to favor the NZD/USD to hold its gains from the previous day. The latest spike in daily Covid cases has led International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva to predict worse economic development for China. Additionally, Bloomberg stated that the COVID-19 outbreak caused the Chinese leadership to cancel the discussion on economic policy. In 2023, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) revised down its estimate of China's GDP growth from 4.5% in September to 4.3%.

 

After the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November dropped to 7.1% from 7.3% and 7.8% earlier, the US Dollar Index (DXY) decreased on Wednesday. Additionally, the Core CPI, also known as the CPI excluding food and energy, fell to 6.0% YoY during the designated month, below both market forecasts of 6.1% and previous readings of 6.3%. "Traders of futures tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate upped their bets that the U.S. central bank will delay its interest-rate increase pace further in the first quarter of 2019," according to Reuters, after the release of the data.

 

In light of this, Wall Street ended the day up, but the S&P 500 Futures lack a clear trend. Additionally, US Treasury bond rates haven't changed in three days despite dropping to their lowest level in a week.

 

Future NZD/USD price movement may be constrained by pre-Fed concerns, although bears may sustain optimism at the multi-day high if they expect a surprise hawkish Fed action.

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