Steven Zhao
Nov 08, 2022 17:10
With many of the major players staying away ahead of Tuesday's U.S. congressional elections and Thursday's significant consumer inflation report, the major U.S. stock indices are trading mixed near the midpoint of the session on Monday.
The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 3262.61, up 159.39 or +0.49%, at 17:00 GMT. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite is trading at 10441.84, down 33.41 or -0.32%, while the benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 3771.75, up 1.20 or +0.03%.
If the GOP wins, a split government will result.
Republican presidential candidate Joe Biden's strategy, which may include potential broad tax increases and a windfall tax on energy companies, may be hampered by a split government, analysts say, with the GOP capturing the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate.
According to Wells Fargo economists, "in this election outcome scenario, we doubt we would make any significant revisions to our projections for GDP growth, inflation, or the federal funds rate as a result of the election."
Instead, investors see a status quo and political deadlock that prevent significant policy changes as a positive outcome for stocks.
Traders are preparing for a potential surprise in Thursday's consumer price index (CPI) report following Friday's unexpected increase in the jobless rate in the United States.
On a historical basis, economists anticipate that inflation will once more register at extraordinarily high levels.
According to FactSet, the consensus CPI report projection predicts an increase in inflation of 0.7% for October. It is anticipated that the so-called core rate of inflation, which doesn't include volatile food and energy prices, will increase by 0.5%. That would come after a reading of 0.4% for the CPI as a whole and 0.6% for the core CPI in September.
According to Factset, the consensus CPI projection calls for an annualized increase in the CPI of 8.0% and an increase in core inflation of 6.5%. From the September data, when the annual inflation rate was 8.2% overall and 6.6% for core, that would only indicate a small set of gains.
Nov 08, 2022 16:44
Nov 09, 2022 16:43