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On February 11th, Citigroup issued a research report stating that China Literature Limited (00772.HK) issued a profit warning, projecting non-IFRS adjusted net profit for last year to be between RMB 800 million and 900 million, lower than Citigroups and market expectations. The bank estimates that New Classics Media may record a loss in fiscal year 2025, mainly due to delays in content production leading to limited drama series releases, a significant difference from Citigroups previous forecast of releasing six drama series in the second half of the year and recording RMB 243 million in profit. Profit from non-New Classics Media businesses may be RMB 1 billion, lower than Citigroups pre-earnings forecast of RMB 1.08 billion. Therefore, Citigroup believes that the lower-than-expected profit for China Literature in 2025 is mainly due to the limited content releases from New Classics Media, while non-New Classics Media businesses will only slightly underperform expectations. Given that the market is already aware of the content production delays, Citigroup believes that the disappointing performance of New Classics Medias business should not be surprising. Citigroup expects the market to lower its profit forecast for China Literature in response to the profit warning, and the share price is expected to decline. Citigroup maintains a buy rating on China Literature with a target price of HKD 38.On February 11th, Citigroup released a research report predicting that Pop Marts (09992.HK) IP-centric diversification strategy will enhance its ability to withstand IP cyclical risks and revitalize new demand. Citigroups weekly data tracking shows a recent upward trend in app downloads, particularly in China and the US, which Citigroup attributes primarily to the launch of its new Skullpanda x My Little Pony series. Looking ahead to 2026, Citigroup predicts that the groups breakthroughs in IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization capabilities across a wide range of sectors will drive growth. The report mentions that the groups other iconic IP products, such as SKULLPANDA and CRYBABY, are becoming new growth drivers and have their own fan bases, proving they are not simply substitutes for LABUBU. The report predicts that non-LABUBU IPs have upside potential this year, and recent global consumer surveys also suggest that interest in non-LABUBU IPs in overseas markets may be underestimated. Citigroup has given Pop Mart a "Buy" rating with a target price of HK$415, based on a P/E ratio of 28x for 2026 earnings. The group commands a premium compared to most global toy and IP peers, likely due to its rapid growth driven by overseas expansion. Citigroup also believes Pop Mart deserves a premium over its domestic competitors due to its leading position.OpenAI founder Altman: Today we updated GPT-5.2 (Instant Model) in ChatGPT. While the changes are minor, we hope you find them to be an improvement.February 11th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: In recent intraday trading, spot gold prices have continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, holding steady above the psychological level of $5,000, attempting a technical correction in preparation for accumulating bullish momentum, driving prices higher, and resuming the upward trend.February 11th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices further consolidated their gains in the previous trading session, benefiting from their continued trading above the EMA50 moving average. This moving average continues to provide dynamic support, further strengthening the stability and dominance of the main bullish trend in the short term, especially as prices move along the support trendline of this trend.

Meta Shares Soar After Facebook Ekes Out User Growth

Haiden Holmes

Apr 28, 2022 10:02

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Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) recovered from a user decline earlier this year, and its parent company Meta above Wall Street earnings estimates, defying low investor expectations with a quarterly report that pushed shares up 20%.


Additionally, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that the firm would cut costs and invest in artificial intelligence tools to improve recommendation and advertising, indicating that Meta is focusing on profitability while pursuing its long-term goal of building the metaverse.


Its shares increased 19 percent on Wednesday after-hours trading.


Meta's profit well exceeded Wall Street expectations, coming in at $2.72 per share, compared to an average analyst forecast of $2.56, according to Refinitiv's IBES data. Meta's earnings beats were offset by the slowest revenue increase in a decade.


According to IBES statistics from Refinitiv, Facebook daily active users (DAU), a critical indicator for marketers, were 1.96 billion, slightly higher than the estimate of 1.95 billion. Monthly active users were 2.94 billion, falling 30 million short of Wall Street projections.


Meta has lost roughly half of its value since the beginning of the year, following a dismal February earnings report in which Facebook's daily active users fell for the first time in years and the company forecasted a bleak quarter, blaming ongoing factors such as Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) privacy changes and increased competition from platforms like ByteDance's TikTok.


"It's encouraging that Meta was able to sustain growth in DAU. It needs to demonstrate a significant improvement over the previous quarter's performance "Debra Williamson, an analyst with Insider Intelligence, stated.


"Monthly active user growth, on the other hand, has slowed significantly. It was possible a few quarters ago to rely on emerging markets to keep the growth engine humming, but it is likely that even these high-growth possibilities are beginning to dwindle "'She stated.


Total revenue, which is largely advertising revenues, increased 7% to $27.91 billion in the first quarter, but fell short of analysts' expectations of $28.20 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.


Chief Financial Officer Dave Wehner mentioned a number of causes in a conference call with analysts on Wednesday, including a slowdown in ecommerce following strong growth during the COVID-19 epidemic, revenue loss in Russia, and decreased ad demand amid global economic uncertainties. On the call, Zuckerberg also reiterated prior cautions about the difficulties associated with engagement shifting toward features such as its short video product Reels, which earns less revenue than other ad formats.


Russia banned Facebook and Instagram in March, accusing Meta of "extremist conduct" during Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. The prohibition does not apply to Meta's messaging application WhatsApp. Additionally, Meta has prohibited Russian marketers from generating and running ads elsewhere in the world.


Meta predicted sales of between $28 billion and $30 billion for the second quarter. On average, analysts anticipated current-quarter revenue of $30.63 billion. The company stated that its perspective was influenced by a number of variables, including the Ukraine war, and that it was monitoring the possible impact of European regulatory changes.


Recent earnings reports from Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc and Snap Inc (NYSE:SNAP) indicate that the global economic turbulence is having an effect on digital advertising spending, as inflation continues to rise and geopolitical concern persists.


"I believe that following Google, expectations were set for the worst-case scenario," said Rick Meckler, a partner at Cherry Lane Investments, a New Vernon, New Jersey-based family investment firm. "When they beat projections on earnings per share, I believe that those who had shorted the stock and others who had...given up on it opted to reinvest."


Meta reduced its forecast for overall expenses in 2022 to between $87 billion and $92 billion, from $90 billion to $95 billion previously.


Meta executives stated during the call that the company is investing heavily in artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance its ad capabilities as it grapples with the impact of Apple's operating system changes, which have made it more difficult for brands to target and measure their ads on Facebook and Instagram.


However, Zuckerberg said that Meta was limiting the pace of some longer-term investments in its AI infrastructure and Reality Labs hardware division, which houses the company's augmented and virtual reality activities.


Meta's Reality Labs hardware division generated $695 million in quarterly revenue. It reported losses of $3 billion from operations related to these metaverse goals.


Zuckerberg has cautioned that it will take billions of dollars and several years for Meta to accomplish its metaverse ambitions, a futuristic concept of virtual spaces where users may work, socialize, and play.