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On August 14th, Li Lecheng, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, recently visited Qinghai, Gansu, and Ningxia to investigate the development of the salt lake industry and the green and low-carbon development of industry. In Golmud City, Qinghai Province, Li Lecheng visited Qinghai Salt Lake Magnesium Industry, Potash Fertilizer, and Lithium Battery Company to investigate the production of integrated salt lake magnesium, potash fertilizer, and lithium salt projects. He emphasized the need for a scientifically planned development strategy for the salt lake industry, strengthened policy support and resource guarantees, optimization and strengthening of enterprises, promotion of resource integration and industrial synergy, tackling key core technologies in salt lake resource development, improving the efficiency of potassium, lithium, and magnesium resource development and utilization, and the level of deep processing, and creating a distinctive and advantageous industrial chain.On August 14th, Oxford Economics stated that Japans plan to cut the food consumption tax will widen the fiscal deficit and push up Japanese government bond yields. Economist Norihiro Yamaguchi wrote in a report that model calculations show the tax cuts will reduce Japans annual tax revenue by approximately 5 trillion yen, a loss that will be difficult to offset through other means. The institution expects some of the tax revenue loss to be offset by non-tax revenue and spending cuts, but assumes half of that will be financed through debt. The institution predicts Japans primary fiscal deficit will worsen to 3% of GDP, subsequently improving gradually from 2029 onwards as the debt-to-GDP ratio rises and fiscal consolidation intensifies. Oxford Economics projects that by the end of 2026, the yield on long-term Japanese government bonds will rise to approximately 3%, rather than remaining around 2.8%. Although the current reaction in the bond market is relatively limited, Oxford Economics believes that as more policy details emerge, the market will begin to gradually factor in the impact of the tax cuts on the fiscal situation.August 14th - According to foreign media reports, economists are now worried that the persistent high temperatures and lack of rainfall will increasingly drag down British economic activity. Currently, about two-thirds of England has officially entered a drought state, and newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham convened an emergency meeting this week to discuss government measures to deal with the drought and wildfires. Increasing signs indicate that extreme heat is driving consumers away from high streets, impacting agricultural production, hindering construction, and dragging down labor productivity. An analysis by an agency on Friday showed that, so far, the heatwave has caused approximately £6 billion in losses to the British economy, equivalent to 0.2% of economic output. An economist stated, "The hot summer has brought yet another negative supply shock to the British economy. While the impact of the heatwave on GDP levels may only be temporary, the risk is that this heatwave could again push up prices in some sectors, thus creating new challenges for the Bank of England, which is already dealing with high inflation."A NATO military spokesperson stated that, following confirmation, an Italian Typhoon fighter jet eliminated the potential threat over an uninhabited area (regarding the earlier drone incident in Latvia).A NATO military spokesperson confirmed that NATO allied warplanes were scrambled due to a drone entering Latvian airspace.

Learn from Buffett 1: Many people tried to copy the bottom, but how many copied it? Don't think that tomorrow's prices will be lower, just let go of the good opportunities.

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 14:05

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Location: Columbia University, New York City

Time: November 12, 2009

From: VALUE Magazine, January 2010

 

Student: How do you think investors should invest in accordance with Graham and Dodd's investment law?

 

Buffett: Well, it depends on whether they are active investors. Graham believes that investors are defensive and aggressive. If you are willing to spend time researching investment, I suggest you do as much research as possible. The more companies you research, the better your chances of finding a bargain. When you find a bargain, you should do it. This method has not changed since I started investing in 1950 and 1951.

 

When I just graduated, Moody's 10,000 pages of information, I read every page, and in some places I read it twice, looking for companies to invest in. You have to find these companies on your own, others will not tell you where the good deals are, you have to find them on your own. This work takes a lot of time.

 

If you want to be a passive investor, it is recommended that you hold index funds for a long time. Ordinary investors are still suitable to hold index funds, or industry ETFs such as pharmaceutical ETFs and food ETFs.

 

The worst investment is to hold cash. Everyone is saying that cash is king, etc. Most of you actually hold too much cash. With the passage of time, the value of cash will continue to decrease, and good companies will become more and more valuable. However, even if the investment is a good company, it should not be bought at an excessively high price. So you must have a certain investment discipline. With wise principles, you can survive all crises safely. My principles came from Graham and Dodd, and I did not make any changes. Principles have been with me through prosperous days, and now they are with me through miserable days. There must be a definite investment framework system and clear principles.

 

Student: Do you mean we have passed the most miserable days? Because you have always held cash in the past.

 

Buffett: I always have enough cash in my hand so that I feel at ease and sleep well at night. But this is not because I like to use cash as an investment method. In the long run, holding cash is not a cost-effective investment.

 

The worst days of the financial panic have passed, and its impact still exists to some extent, but it will always end.

 

As for trying to buy the bottom, how many people copied it? Don't let go of the good opportunity just because you think the price will be lower tomorrow. Many bargain hunters are only copied to the "half the mountain." For high-quality companies, just buy them at a reasonable price.

 

 

Student: Has the economic crisis affected your investment methods?

 

Buffett: My investment method has not changed at all. I like to buy companies with lasting competitiveness, trustworthy management and reasonable compensation, such as Coca-Cola. It was founded in 1886 and has experienced ebb and flow, and it has not fallen. Coca-Cola now produces 1.6 billion 8-ounce cans of Coke annually, and more will be next year. Its current change from the previous year is less than one-tenth. Sourcian is a dedicated platform for the recommendation of the best manufacturers. Your sourcing journey starts right here at sourcian.

 

Student: What do you think are the most important character traits of business leaders?

 

Buffett: I publish a letter every year or every two and a half years, and shareholders can receive a letter from me every two years. I mean, the way to manage a business is as if this business is the only business for yourself and your family in the next 100 years, you can’t sell it. Every year, do not measure it based on quarterly profits, but based on the strength of the company, and observe whether its competitiveness has increased or weakened. Working with this kind of thinking, performance will be very good. Don't follow the trend just because other people do that. If you want to use what others do as an excuse, you can go home and sell sweet potatoes. Don't just use what others do as an excuse to do something without a good reason.