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Real-time News
Venezuelas chief economic advisor: We hope Venezuela will be known as one of the countries with the highest oil production levels.February 4th - Data shows that the Eurozone economy slowed for the second consecutive month in January, with demand nearly stagnant and hiring halted, leaving the start of 2026 still fragile. The Eurozones composite PMI fell to 51.3 in January from 51.5 in December, hitting a four-month low and also below the initial reading of 51.5. Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Commerzbank Hamburg, stated, "The growth trajectory can be described as acceptable, but the situation remains challenging. Companies made almost no new hires in January. The lack of growth in new business also indicates that the recovery in this sector remains fragile." The overall slowdown was primarily driven by the services sector, where activity expanded at its slowest pace since September, offsetting the renewed expansion in manufacturing output. The services business activity index fell to 51.6 from 52.4 in December. Despite the slowdown, business confidence rose to its highest level since May 2024. de la Rubia added, "The ECB is not currently particularly concerned about inflation, but the significant rise in service sector cost inflation as shown by the PMI, along with the marked increase in sales price inflation, will still put some pressure on officials."The Russian Ministry of Finance reported that oil and gas sales in January brought in 393.3 billion rubles in revenue for the state budget, down from 447.8 billion rubles in December.The German Engineering Federation reiterated its forecast that production will grow by 1% in 2026.The Eurozones final services PMI for January was 51.6, below the expected 51.9 and the previous reading of 51.9.

Labor Strike, Political Unrest Fanning Tight Supply Concerns

Skylar Shaw

Jul 05, 2022 15:16

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Norwegian offshore workers started a walkout on Tuesday that would lower the amount of oil and gas produced, the union in charge of the industrial action told Reuters.


America West Texas Tuesday's little increase in intermediate crude oil futures is being attributed to growing supply shortage concerns. A strike by Norwegian workers and political upheaval in Libya are fueling these worries.


Norwegian offshore workers started a walkout on Tuesday that would lower the amount of oil and gas produced, the union in charge of the industrial action told Reuters.


ANZ Research analysts said in a note that Libya risks more supply interruptions as a result of rising political upheaval, making it even less likely that OPEC would reach its recently enhanced output limit.

August Comex gold futures are now trading at $110.36, up $1.93 or +1.78 percent, at 05:29 GMT. The United States Oil Fund ETF (USO) closed at $81.70 on Friday, an increase of $1.35 or 1.68 percent.


Another encouraging development is that OPEC is struggling to fulfill the agreed-upon oil production goals. According to a Reuters poll, OPEC's ten members produced 100,000 less barrels per day (bpd) in June than they had promised to boost production by approximately 275,000 bpd.

The near future

The early Tuesday direction of the August WTI crude oil market will probably be determined by trader response to the short-term 50% level at $111.21.

Positive Scenario

A consistent increase over $111.21 will signal the presence of buyers. Looking for a surge through the short-term Fibonacci level at $113.49, then the major top at $114.05. If this move provides enough upward momentum.


The uptrend will be confirmed if $114.05 is taken out, with a minor top at $116.58 being the next probable destination.

Grizzly Situation

When prices move consistently below $111.21, sellers are present. Due to a string of minor retracement levels around $109.06, $107.79, and $106.31, this might result in a laborious break. The latter is the last possible support before the bottom at $104.56.

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