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March 24 – The head of Irans National Emergency Management Organization stated on the 24th that attacks launched by the United States and Israel since the outbreak of this round of conflict have resulted in the deaths of 208 minors under the age of 18 in Iran. Among them, 168 students were killed in an attack on a girls school in Minab, southern Iran. Furthermore, 13 of the dead were under the age of 5, the youngest being only 3 days old.On March 24th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Aleksandar Vujicic (who will become ECB Vice President in June) stated that the ECB must maintain "a high degree of flexibility and vigilance" to control prices, as the risk of stagflation stemming from the Iran war is looming. Vujic indicated that officials will likely soon know whether the impact of the conflict will necessitate an interest rate hike. However, he also warned that recent developments suggest a growing danger of persistently rising consumer prices coupled with weak economic expansion. "We are not currently seeing stagflation, but the risks are moving in that direction. How far we go in this trend is difficult to predict. There will be a lot of new data and information released before the April meeting; in the current situation, everything is being updated in real time."Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We pledge to provide policy guidance aimed at achieving stable inflation and wage growth.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Although food prices may temporarily decline, the impact of freezing food sales tax in the short term on inflation expectations may be limited.ECB Governing Council member Vujicic: The ECB must be wary of the risk of stagflation.

In the midst of a Eurogroup meeting, the EUR/JPY crosses 144.40 for the first time in seven years

Alina Haynes

Sep 09, 2022 17:22

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The EUR/JPY pair is on the verge of regaining its seven-year high above 144.30, as positive results from the Eurogroup meeting are expected to support those who like the common currency. The asset is being auctioned close to Thursday's high at 144.29 and is aiming to surpass it as the European Central Bank (ECB)-Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy divergence has grown.

 

Bulls in the eurozone against the Japanese yen were encouraged by the ECB's historic move to raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) to 1.25 percent on Thursday. Both increasing price pressures and slow economic development pose a threat to the trading bloc. It is well known that increasing interest rates limit economic opportunities. In the wake of the crisis, Christine Lagarde, the president of the European Central Bank (ECB), opted to give up on growth goals and concentrate on establishing price stability.

 

The ECB stressed during a discussion of interest rate guidance that future rate increases won't be as significant and that the institution will still be reliant on data. Inflation forecasts have also been made public by the central bank, with average rates of 8.1% in 2022, 5.5% in 2023, and 2.3% in 2024 predicted. The European Central Bank (ECB) attributed the escalating pricing pressures to supply chain restrictions, increasing energy and food prices, and other factors.

 

The optimistic Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in Tokyo did not significantly help the yen bulls. The 0.9% figure for the Japanese GDP report was higher than both the 0.7% expected as well as the 0.5% figure from the prior release. In addition, compared to forecasts of 2.9% and the prior reading of 2.2%, the yearly statistics dramatically increased to 3.5%.