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A chart summarizing the overnight price movements of international spot platinum and palladium.Geopolitical tensions exacerbated price volatility, with lingering concerns about a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to sharp fluctuations in international crude oil prices at high levels. A chart provides a quick overview of pre-market crude oil prices converted between domestic and international markets.According to Futures News on April 22, as of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum fell 0.03% and spot palladium fell 0.21%.On April 22, Janice Charette, Canadas newly appointed chief trade negotiator for the United States, stated that as the review of the USMCA approaches, she hopes Washington will recognize the "significant" concessions Canada has made and demonstrate some reciprocity. In her first major public address, Charette said, "The Canadian government has taken some concessions that I consider very significant." She cited the elimination of the digital sales tax on U.S. tech giants, the reversal of many retaliatory tariffs imposed by former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and changes and investments made to improve border security. She added, "So far, these measures have not been acknowledged by the other side. I think its important that we see some reciprocity in the negotiations."On April 22nd, a research report from CICC stated that Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Kevin Warsh testified before the Senate Banking Committee, revealing his core policy stance of a two-pronged approach of "balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts." At the balance sheet level, he explicitly opposed normalizing quantitative easing (QE), advocating for a gradual and orderly reduction of the Feds balance sheet size and a withdrawal from fiscal-like responsibilities, returning it to its monetary policy roots. At the interest rate level, although no explicit commitment was made, his statements indicated a tendency towards interest rate cuts. In our view, Warshs policy proposals are not only an adjustment to the monetary issuance mechanism but also an extension of the "America First" strategy under the wave of anti-globalization into the monetary field—shifting from a "global central bank" that endlessly injects liquidity globally to a new approach that firmly controls the overall money supply, focuses on domestic productivity, and emphasizes monetary sovereignty. We believe this shift means that the narrative of continued dollar liquidity flooding the market will face revision, and assets solely reliant on liquidity and benefiting from "dollar over-issuance" may come under pressure.

Gold trading strategy on October 4: Trend line pressure test, gold price comes to a crossroads

Oct 26, 2021 10:57

On Monday (October 4), spot gold is almost stable. Short-term gold prices are facing the challenge of the trend line. The trend requires further wait and see. Investors are advised to wait and see.


Daily level: The price of gold rebounded sharply last Thursday, breaking through the 10-day moving average, and the downward trend was temporarily contained.

The short-term gold price tends to fluctuate sideways, and further trends still need to be wait-and-see. If the intraday rise breaks through the shackles of the downward trend line, the market outlook is expected to rise further.

However, if it closes down within the day, the price of gold will continue to be under pressure from the trend line, and the market outlook may continue to fall. Investors are advised to wait and see for the time being.

Above the resistance level, focus on the 20-day moving average of 1767.78, and further focus on the 50-day moving average of 1783.62 and the 200-day moving average of 1801.92.

Below the support level, focus on the low of 1750.79 on June 29, and further focus on the low of 1738.12 on September 23 and the low of 1721.76 on September 29.

(Spot gold daily chart)

Resistance levels: 1767.78; 1783.62; 1801.92
Support levels: 1750.79; 1738.12; 1721.76

Short-term operation advice: wait and see for now.

GMT+8 13:45, spot gold was quoted at US$1761.33 per ounce.