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On June 12, Bank of Korea Governor Shin Hyun-song warned that the central bank cannot lag behind the curve in controlling inflation. This statement sends a clear signal that policymakers are feeling an increasing urgency to act sooner rather than later. Shin stated that concerns about inflationary pressures have increased as the Middle East conflict continues. This comment is likely to reinforce market expectations that the Bank of Korea will resume its tight monetary policy as early as next month. The current Iranian crisis is pushing up energy prices and disrupting supply chains. Shin also stated that, overall, the current dynamics regarding growth, inflation, and financial stability point relatively clearly from a monetary policy perspective. While the central bank governor needs to consider multiple factors, it is crucial to avoid acting too late when price stability is threatened. Even if cost-easing measures alleviate some of the pressure, South Koreas inflation may remain above the target level for an extended period.German government officials said they expect the EU summit to instruct the European Commission to revise its toolkit for dealing with unfair trade practices.Nomura Securities predicts that the European Central Banks terminal interest rate will rise to 3.00% by March 2027—the most hawkish forecast in the market consensus, 40 basis points higher than the current market price.A Ukrainian defense source said that Ukraine will request an additional $20 billion in military spending from its allies next week to consolidate its battlefield advantage over Russia.ECB Governing Council member Mollan stated that this weeks rate hike aims to curb a second wave of inflationary pressures. The ECB is taking inflationary pressures seriously.

Gold Recovers As Fed Minutes Confirm Forecasts

Charlie Brooks

May 26, 2022 09:36

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Gold recouped some of its losses on Wednesday as minutes from a Federal Reserve meeting indicated that the central bank would maintain its plan to raise interest rates by a half-point at its June and July meetings.


At 4:15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), spot gold declined 0.7% to $1,853.80 per ounce, after falling 1.3% to $1,844.49 earlier in the session. Gold futures in the U.S. closed down almost 1 percent at $1,846.3.


According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on 3-4 May, all participants supported a half-percentage-point rate hike to battle inflation that threatened to surge without central bank intervention.


After the minutes were released, gold reduced losses, but remained down, having been lower for the majority of the day due to a higher dollar.


While the Fed minutes were mostly in line with market expectations, the Fed did indicate that 50 basis point hikes would likely be appropriate for the June and July meetings, according to Standard Chartered analyst Suki Cooper (OTC:SCBFF). The market will likely continue to focus on inflation data and indications of reducing cost pressures.


Even while gold is commonly viewed as a hedge against inflation, rate rises diminish its attractiveness since they tend to increase bond rates, increasing the opportunity cost of keeping zero-yield metal.


Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, has secured critical allies for her proposal to lift rates out of negative territory this summer.


Spot silver lost 0.5% to $21.99 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to $948.95 per ounce, while palladium climbed 0.1% to $2,002.22 per ounce.


Analysts at Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG) wrote in a note, "Platinum and palladium are being restrained by the continued challenges in the automobile industry, which is dampening demand for these precious metals."