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U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio: The United States supports the courageous Iranian people.On January 10th, a research report from Founder Securities stated that the December non-farm payroll data was mixed, with the US job market generally showing a mild downward trend, but the unemployment rate showed marginal improvement, giving the Federal Reserve more reason to wait and see in January. Combined with the Supreme Courts potential declaration that the IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional, this may be a short-term positive for US stocks and the US dollar, but a negative for US Treasuries. Data on new jobs, job openings, and hourly wage growth indicate that the US job market remained relatively weak in December, but the marginal decline in the unemployment rate was one of the few bright spots. Looking at interest rate futures and US Treasuries, the market priced in a no-rate-cut by the Fed in January, with a possible rate cut as early as June. Meanwhile, the Supreme Courts potential declaration that the IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional means that economic expectations may improve marginally, inflationary pressures may weaken, but the fiscal deficit may worsen. With the Fed in no hurry to cut rates and tariffs easing, US Treasuries face many unfavorable factors in the short term and are likely to remain at high levels. US stocks will benefit from the AI boom and reduced tariff disruptions, especially in sectors affected by tariffs such as consumer staples and industry, which are more resilient.January 10 - According to the UN Security Council schedule, the Security Council will hold an emergency meeting on the situation in Ukraine on January 12.On January 10th, Xiaomi Auto released a statement in response to netizens questions, stating that the new generation SU7 will be equipped with the Xiaomi Super Motor V6s Plus across the entire series. In addition to the motor being jointly supplied by United Electric and Inovance Technology, Xiaomi will also introduce its own self-developed and self-produced V6s Plus Super Motor in the future to further improve production efficiency and shorten delivery cycles.On January 10th, Chen Jianye, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Director of the Fujian Provincial Department of Industry and Information Technology, stated that the next step will be to accelerate the digital transformation of the manufacturing industry, enhance its green foundation, and promote the transformation of industries towards "new" and "green." This includes: Deepening the implementation of the "Nine Major Actions" for comprehensive digital empowerment of industrial manufacturing; adhering to the principle of enterprise-led development, strengthening government guidance, and leveraging the role of service providers to create more transformation benchmarks, promote chain-based transformation and overall transformation, and accelerate the large-scale application of digital technologies in the manufacturing industry; Deepening and expanding "Artificial Intelligence +"; making good use of the new round of incremental policies for artificial intelligence, supporting the cultivation of industry-specific models and intelligent agents, accelerating industry adaptation and scenario expansion, and promoting the empowerment of various industries by artificial intelligence; guiding the differentiated and characteristic development of the Fuzhou-Xiamen-Quanzhou provincial-level artificial intelligence industrial parks; and carrying out in-depth energy conservation and carbon reduction special actions; closely monitoring national carbon assessment requirements, and implementing energy conservation reviews and carbon emission assessments for "high energy consumption and high pollution" projects in the industrial sector; building Fujians green advantages in manufacturing, cultivating more national and provincial-level green parks and enterprises, and promoting the construction of a number of zero-carbon parks and factories.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD nears $1,980 as USD Index extends losses in response to the Fed's dovish guidance

Daniel Rogers

Mar 23, 2023 14:48

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In the Asian session, the gold price (XAU / USD) is gaining strength to surpass the immediate resistance of $1,980.00. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) resumed its decline and fears of a US banking crisis revived, demand for the precious metal increased.

 

As the Federal Reserve (Fed) has come extremely close to the terminal rate, which would be restrictive enough to bring down U.S. inflation to 2%, the USD Index is seeking to retest its six-month low below 102.000. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in his commentary that "additional policy tightening may be necessary."

 

Investors should be aware of the fact that the US banking crisis has bolstered the status of gold as a safe-haven asset. However, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's reassurance of the safety of all bank deposits quelled concerns of a banking crisis.

 

As of Wednesday, when US Yellen stated that the government "is not considering insuring all uninsured bank deposits," the situation appears to have changed. This has also increased demand for United States government bonds. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries have decreased to near 3.45%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures have rebounded strongly after a steep decline on Wednesday, indicating an improvement in risk appetite. Nonetheless, caution still prevails as US banks' strict credit conditions will have a long-term impact. According to the Fed's commentary, the US banking system is solid and resilient, but US banks will be more cautious in their lending to households and businesses.