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The Hang Seng Index rose in the short term, and the Hang Seng Tech Index narrowed its losses to 0.5%.According to Investopedia, a financial website, forecasters predict that U.S. inflation may have risen to a 17-month high in September as tariffs push up prices. A Wall Street Journal survey of economists indicates that the CPI report, due this Friday, is likely to show a 3.1% annual increase in overall prices in December. Rising inflation would highlight the impact of Trumps tariffs, which have risen almost every month since the tariffs were announced in April. Despite rising prices, lower rent increases may prevent overall inflation from rising too much. Core inflation is expected to rise 3.1% in September, unchanged from August. Overall, the increase in inflation may not be large enough to prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates in late October. Having already cut rates by 25 basis points in September to support the sluggish job market, the Fed is now more focused on the job market than on combating inflation. Wells Fargo economists Sarah House and Nicole Cervi said, "We expect goods inflation to remain elevated due to the continued pass-through of tariffs, while easing primary housing costs should help mitigate services inflation."On October 23rd, Goldman Sachs economists said in a report that the Bank of Japan is likely to keep its policy rate unchanged next week from a risk management perspective amid high uncertainty. They said: "After assessing that uncertainty in its baseline outlook is high, the Bank of Japan is likely to judge that while downside risks to the economic outlook are substantial, upside risks to the price outlook are also substantial." They pointed out that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its stance of gradual rate hikes.The South Korean won fell to its lowest level against the dollar since mid-May.Indian state refiners are reviewing bills of lading for Russian oil cargoes arriving after Nov. 21 to ensure there are no direct supplies from Rosneft and Lukoil, which are subject to U.S. sanctions, sources said.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD declines toward 200-SMA retest as yields support US Dollar recovery

Alina Haynes

Mar 02, 2023 15:52

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During the first day of losses in four prior to the European session, the gold price (XAU/USD) oscillates around the intraday low of $1,831. In doing so, the precious metal validates the stronger US Dollar and risk-averse market sentiment on a slow Thursday.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded from a one-week low to 104.60 at the latest, up 0.17 percent intraday, as greenback supporters tracked robust US Treasury bond yields and cheered sour sentiment amid hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) talks. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's apprehension, which has recently pressured Wall Street investors and weighed on S&P 500 Futures. On the same side may be the ardent Minneapolis Federal Reserve (Fed) President Neel Kashkari, as well as the policymakers of the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB).

 

Gold purchasers are encouraged by the recent improvement in China's economic data and the country's policymakers' upbeat remarks. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with central banker comments and US secondary data to amuse XAU/USD traders.