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August 26th - US inflation unexpectedly remained unchanged in July, marking the 65th consecutive month significantly above the Federal Reserves 2% target. The recent decline in inflation after reaching high levels, influenced by the Iran war, has stalled, potentially exacerbating tensions within the Federal Reserve regarding whether to raise or maintain interest rates. Data released Wednesday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Feds preferred indicator, the US PCE price index, rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, unchanged from June, compared to analysts expectations of 3.6%. With trade negotiations between the US and its second-largest trading partner, Canada, breaking down on Friday, a new round of tariff-driven inflationary pressures may be imminent. On a month-on-month basis, the PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, also exceeding economists expectations. In June, the index fell 0.1% month-on-month, the lowest level since April 2020. The Bureau of Economic Analysis also updated its second-quarter economic growth data, maintaining the annualized growth rate of US real GDP at 1.5%.August 26th - Market pricing indicates a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month. This follows data released by the US government showing that the Feds key inflation gauge rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly higher than economists expectations. Interest rate futures data shows that after the data release, the market expects a 42% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, up from approximately 36% before the data release.On August 26th, Alibabas Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model. This is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview version of the Qwen4 architecture. The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at only $0.16 per 1 million input tokens and $0.47 per 1 million output tokens. The model boasts 125 billion parameters + 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but each token only activates 6 billion parameters, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine will send two additional troops to reinforce the Donetsk front.U.S. short-term interest rate futures pared earlier gains slightly after the release of U.S. economic data.

Gold Is Unchanged Before U.S. Inflation Data, While Copper Seeks Weekly Gains

Haiden Holmes

Dec 09, 2022 12:00

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Gold and copper prices fluctuated somewhat on Friday as investors dug in ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data due later in the day, as the red metal headed for a second straight week of rises on optimism that China may reduce COVID limits.


After recouping the majority of their early losses, bullion prices were anticipated to close the week little down, as recession fears spurred some investors to return to the yellow metal. The recent decline of the dollar has also benefited gold prices.


Spot gold varied about $1,789.43 per ounce, whilst gold futures stayed unchanged at $1,801.25 per ounce as of 18:56 ET (23:56 GMT). After falling to a low of $1,765.86 per ounce, it was anticipated that both assets would lose around 0.4% this week.


The November U.S. producer price index inflation data will be revealed later in the day. The expected decline from the previous month suggests that higher interest rates and tighter monetary conditions are having the desired effect.


In this scenario, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for a longer length of time, thus any indicators that inflation remained persistent over the month might result in more market losses. A number of market participants voiced fear that this might trigger a recession in 2023.


It is predicted that the PPI data will foretell a similar pattern in the carefully watched consumer price index, which will be released the following week.


As the potential cost of non-yielding assets grew, increasing interest rates exerted the most pressure on gold prices this year, knocking the metal off its yearly highs.


The path of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2023 will be primarily impacted by inflation, which stays well over the target range.


On Friday, other precious metals displayed little fluctuation. Futures for platinum climbed 0.1%, while futures for silver increased 0.2%.


Copper prices were stable among industrial metals, but were expected to grow for a second consecutive week due to confidence around China's economic recovery.


Copper Futures were trading near $3.8818 per pound and a 0.8% increase was anticipated this week.


This week, China announced the elimination of some anti-COVID movement restrictions and testing procedures, which led to an increase in the price of red metal. The move is anticipated to stimulate a recovery in the world's largest copper importer, based on market sentiment.


Given the nation's ongoing struggle with record-high infection rates, a wider reopening may take longer than expected.