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January 6th - Data shows that Japans monetary base (i.e., cash in circulation) is projected to decline for the first time in 18 years in 2025, reflecting the central banks gradual withdrawal from large-scale policy support. This trend is expected to continue as the policy normalization process progresses. Data shows that the average balance of Japans monetary base in 2025 will decrease by 4.9% year-on-year, the first decline since 2007. In 2007, the Bank of Japan was beginning its previous interest rate hike cycle. The average balance of the monetary base in December 2025 will be ¥594.19 trillion (approximately US$3.79 trillion), a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%, and the first time it has fallen below the ¥600 trillion mark since September 2020. Analysts predict that as the Bank of Japan continues to reduce its bond purchases and raise interest rates, Japans monetary base will continue its downward trend.On January 6th, it was reported that, with the approval of the Shanghai Municipal Government, 11 departments, including the Shanghai Municipal Development and Reform Commission and the Shanghai Municipal Commission of Commerce, jointly issued the "Several Measures of Shanghai Municipality to Encourage Reinvestment in China by Foreign-Invested Enterprises." The measures include 15 articles on encouraging reinvestment, such as: supporting reinvestment through various means; strengthening project coordination services; optimizing land resource allocation; encouraging technological upgrading and transformation; guiding and supporting domestic production; supporting increased R&D and innovation efforts; supporting participation in the pilot program for opening up the service industry; simplifying the process for medical device production conversion; promoting multi-warehouse collaboration in pharmaceutical wholesale; promoting chain operations of convenience foods; implementing tax policies for profit reinvestment; guiding foreign investment in encouraged industries; optimizing foreign exchange registration and fund usage procedures; deepening the pilot program for qualified foreign limited partners; and broadening reinvestment financing channels. The measures also include 5 articles on optimizing investment promotion services, such as: promoting the construction of a new model for high-level investment attraction; strengthening investment promotion connections between the central urban area and new towns; advancing the pilot program for domestic investment information reporting; conducting a pilot program for evaluating the effectiveness of foreign investment promotion; and strengthening the publicity of investment promotion policies.On January 6th, Sensor Towers store intelligence platform showed that in December 2025, 33 Chinese companies were among the top 100 highest-grossing mobile game publishers globally, generating a total of $1.95 billion, accounting for 34.6% of the total revenue of the top 100 mobile game publishers worldwide. Tencent strongly defended its title as the highest-grossing mobile game publisher globally in December 2025, with its flagship product portfolio showing strong growth across multiple areas, maintaining its revenue momentum at full capacity. The national MOBA benchmark, *Honor of Kings*, continued to lead the Chinese iOS mobile game best-seller list, with total revenue (excluding third-party Android channels in China) exceeding $2 billion in 2025. The chess-like mobile game *Golden Spatula Battle* sparked another wave of popularity, with the new "League of Legends Legends" season and "Immortal Legend Summoning" event in December igniting player enthusiasm, resulting in a 50% increase in revenue this period. The blockbuster FPS *Delta Force* became the strongest growth engine, with revenue surging 29 times year-on-year in 2025, exceeding $500 million in cumulative revenue.January 6th, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures fell in recent intraday trading after rising but subsequently retreating. Currently, crude oil prices are attempting to gain new upward momentum, which could help them recover and continue rising in the upcoming period. This decline was accompanied by a easing of the overbought condition of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), showing a negative overlap signal, indicating that momentum is temporarily calming, but the upward correction wave will continue in the short term, supported by dynamic support above the EMA50, thus a recovery is still possible in the short term.On January 6th, Brainwave Aurora (06681.HK) announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it recently signed important business cooperation agreements with Peking University Sixth Hospital and Shandong Provincial Mental Health Center to jointly promote the research and development and commercialization of digital therapy products for mental health. In addition, the "Beijing Key Laboratory for Innovation and Transformation of Precision Intelligent Diagnosis and Treatment of Mental Illnesses," jointly applied for by the company, Peking University Sixth Hospital, and the National Engineering Research Center for Software Engineering of Peking University, has been officially approved for establishment.

GBP/JPY finds support close to 167.30 as focus shifts to UK inflation and BOE policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 12, 2022 15:42

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The GBP/JPY pair is gauging demand after slipping to approximately 167.30 during the early Asian session. After failing to surpass the 168.00 round-level barrier, there was selling pressure on the cross. In the interim, the GBP/USD pair has retraced ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy, suggesting a cautious market tone.

 

As the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BOE) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is projected to widen further in the wake of the Bank of England's (BOE) interest rate hike on December 15, the cross is forecast to recover significantly.

 

Despite the recession, the Bank of England will increase interest rates by another 50 basis points (bps) next week, boosting the cost of borrowing to 3.50 percent, according to a Reuters poll. To eliminate inflationary pressures in the United Kingdom, additional policy tightening is necessary.

 

But before that, investors will focus on the United Kingdom's inflation data on Wednesday. According to projections, the annual inflation rate for November would likely increase from 11.1% to 11.5%. The recent rise in food price inflation, caused by a labor shortage and rising input costs, has raised expectations for the headline inflation rate.

 

As a result of a decrease in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, the likelihood of a dip in Tokyo's inflation has increased. A decline in demand never causes the price increase index to rise. Even if salaries climb by 3%, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda believes the BOJ would retain its current easy monetary policy until inflation reaches 2%.