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On November 14th, CICC released a report stating that Bilibili (09626.HK) reported a 5% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 7.69 billion in the third quarter, exceeding CICCs forecast of RMB 7.61 billion. Non-GAAP net profit reached RMB 787 million, better than CICCs forecast of RMB 563 million, mainly benefiting from rapid growth in advertising revenue and better-than-expected gross margin performance. Based on the improving gross margin trend, CICC raised its 2025 and 2026 net profit forecasts for Bilibili by 7.8% and 2.3% respectively, to RMB 2.44 billion and RMB 3.06 billion. CICC raised its target prices for Bilibilis US-listed shares and H-shares by 7.4% and 7.8% respectively, to US$29 and HK$220, maintaining its "Outperform" rating.November 14th - It was learned on the 13th local time that Trinidad and Tobagos Attorney General John Jeremy stated that the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit will "intensify exercises" in the country "in the coming days." In late October, Venezuelan President Maduro announced the suspension of progress on a natural gas cooperation agreement with Trinidad and Tobago. Maduro stated that this decision was in response to Trinidad and Tobagos support for the USs so-called "anti-drug" operations in the Caribbean. Trinidad and Tobago are separated from Venezuela by the Gulf of Paria, with their coastlines at their closest point only about 10 kilometers apart.On November 14th, the overnight SHIBOR was 1.3630%, up 4.80 basis points; the 7-day SHIBOR was 1.4680%, down 0.60 basis points; the 14-day SHIBOR was 1.5090%, up 0.90 basis points; the 1-month SHIBOR was 1.5180%, unchanged from the previous trading day; and the 3-month SHIBOR was 1.5800%, unchanged from the previous trading day.JD.com (09618.HK) fell more than 5%, with the companys Q3 revenue reaching RMB 299.059 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%.On November 14th, Goldman Sachs stated that global oil demand growth will continue for longer than previously expected, driven by strong energy demand. Earlier this week, the International Energy Agency (IEA) softened its forecast that oil demand was nearing its peak. In a report published Thursday, Goldman Sachs analysts Yulia Grigsby and Daan Struyven wrote that global oil demand will grow from 103.5 million barrels per day in 2024 to 113 million barrels per day in 2040. The bank had predicted last year that demand would peak in 2034, but also noted that the peak could be delayed by six years due to the slowdown in the adoption of electric vehicles. Goldman Sachs attributed its revised peak demand forecast to bottlenecks in low-carbon technologies and infrastructure, as well as the growth in energy demand. The bank pointed out that after a prolonged plateau in oil demand from road transportation, petrochemical products will become a key driver of oil consumption, with the aviation industry also making a significant contribution. However, Goldman Sachs also warned that long-term oil demand forecasts are highly uncertain and often subject to significant revisions, with the main risks stemming from the accelerated progress of low-carbon technologies and the lingering impact of a potential economic recession.

G7 Implements Oil Price Cap; Russia Must Sell at Market Prices

Haiden Holmes

Dec 05, 2022 14:04

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The Group of Seven price cap on Russian seaborne oil went into effect on Monday, as the West attempts to limit Moscow's ability to finance its battle in Ukraine. However, Russia has said that it will not comply with the policy, even if it means reducing production.


The price cap, which will be applied by the G7, the EU, and Australia, is in addition to the EU's prohibition on imports of Russian crude by sea and similar agreements by the United States, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom.


It permits the transfer of Russian oil to third parties via G7 and EU tankers, insurance companies, and financial institutions, but only if the cargo is purchased at or below the price cap.


Given that the world's biggest transportation and insurance firms are situated in G7 countries, the cap could make it difficult for Moscow to sell its oil at a higher price.


Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter, stated on Sunday that it would not accept the restriction and would not sell oil subject to it, even if it meant reducing production.


Since Soviet geologists discovered oil and gas in Siberian wetlands in the decades following World War II, oil and gas exports to Europe have been one of Russia's key sources of foreign currency earnings.


Due to the sensitivity of the issue, a person who requested anonymity told Reuters that a regulation was being developed to prohibit Russian businesses and dealers from cooperating with nations and businesses covered by the cap.


A edict of this type would essentially outlaw the export of oil and petroleum products to nations and businesses that use it.


With the price ceiling set at $60 per barrel, which is not too far below Friday's closing price of $67, the EU and G7 countries predict that Russia will continue to have a motivation to sell oil at this price, albeit for decreased profits.


Every two months, the EU and G7 will review the level of the cap, with the first review occurring in mid-January.


The European Commission noted in a statement that this evaluation should take into account "the efficacy of the measure, its implementation, international adherence and alignment, the potential impact on coalition members and partners, and market developments."


The crude oil cap will be followed on February 5 by a similar step affecting Russian petroleum products, the number of which has not yet been determined.