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On January 29th, the US Treasury yield curve steepened for the second consecutive trading day, primarily driven by a weaker dollar and stronger oil prices, both of which boosted inflation expectations. The 2-year/10-year Treasury yield spread widened to 67.6 basis points at one point, up from 66.6 basis points at the close on Tuesday. The yield curve exhibited a typical "bear market steepening" characteristic, where longer-term yields rise faster than shorter-term yields as investors price in the risk of renewed inflation acceleration. Gunnett Dingela, Head of US Interest Rates Strategy at BNP Paribas, stated, "Weaker dollars typically lead to longer-term yields becoming more sensitive to inflation risks. Therefore, the dollar and Treasuries often act as pressure relief valves for the combination of monetary and fiscal policies. If the combination of fiscal and monetary policies suggests that the dollar will continue to weaken, then I think the rise in long-term yields is a textbook reaction."The German DAX 30 index closed down 91.30 points, or 0.37%, at 24,816.93 on Wednesday, January 28; the UK FTSE 100 index closed down 55.50 points, or 0.54%, at 10,152.30 on Wednesday, January 28; and the French CAC 40 index closed down 86.14 points, or 1.06%, at 8,066.68 on Wednesday, January 28; European The Stoxx 50 index closed down 62.53 points, or 1.04%, at 5932.06 on Wednesday, January 28; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed down 206.52 points, or 1.16%, at 17597.58 on Wednesday, January 28; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed down 343.94 points, or 0.76%, at 45096.50 on Wednesday, January 28.The percentage of winning bids for the 4-month U.S. Treasury bonds auctioned as of January 28 was 45.62%, compared to 50.47% previously.The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 4-month Treasury bond auction ending January 28 was 2.92, compared to 2.99 previously.The US 4-month Treasury auction on January 28th yielded a winning bid of 3.59%, compared to 3.58% previously.

France will invest $10 billion to acquire full control of EDF

Haiden Holmes

Jul 20, 2022 11:02

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As Europe faces an energy crisis, the French government is ready to spend 9.7 billion euros ($9.85 billion) to purchase full control of EDF (EPA:EDF) in a takeover deal that would give it unlimited control over Europe's largest nuclear power operator.


The finance ministry announced in a statement released on Tuesday that the government will pay minority shareholders of EDF 12 euros per share, a 53 percent premium over the stock's closing price on July 5, the day before the government announced its intention to nationalize the entire debt-ridden company.


Tuesday at 08:36 GMT, EDF shares, which resumed trading after a one-week suspension awaiting details on the government takeover plan, were up 15% to 11.80 euros.


EDF has been plagued with unplanned outages at its nuclear fleet, delays and cost overruns in building new reactors, and power pricing regulations imposed by the government to prevent people's electricity costs from soaring.


The conflict in Ukraine has compounded the group's predicament, forcing it to acquire electricity from the market at historically high prices and sell it at a discount to its competitors.


France has declared that nationalizing EDF will increase the security of its energy supplies at a time when Europe is rushing to find alternatives to Russian gas supply.


Rising costs have placed pressure on energy providers across Europe, and Germany intervened earlier this month to save Uniper, the continent's largest buyer of Russian gas.


France, which typically exports electricity at this time of year, is now importing from Spain, Switzerland, Germany, and the United Kingdom, and the supply constraint is projected to worsen this winter.


"Nationalization is the only viable alternative to save the company and ensure electricity generation," said Ingo Speich, head of sustainability and corporate governance at Deka Investment, which owns a small stake in EDF. This is a necessary yet uncomfortable step.


With S&P predicting that EDF's debt will exceed 100 billion euros this year, a bondholder in the group viewed the proposed takeover as a welcome demonstration of government support.


However, the bondholder underlined that a great deal more must be done to stabilize the balance sheet.


According to a banker familiar with the issue, the state, which financed the majority of a 3 billion euro capital raise for EDF in the spring, would likely be required to inject further cash in the near future.


In 2005, EDF was listed for 33 euros per share on the Paris stock exchange; hence, investors who acquired shares at that time have suffered a large loss.


Analysts noted, however, that the government only needs 90 percent ownership of EDF in order to delist it.


Citi analyst Piotr Dzieciolowski stated in a note, "The offer seems enticing and has a good chance of success."


The buyout proposal will be presented to the stock market regulator by early September. The French government plans to complete the delisting process by the end of October, according to a source from the finance ministry.


After accounting for existing debts and a premium for minority shareholders, sources told Reuters last week that the government will pay close to 10 billion euros to purchase the remaining 16 percent of EDF that it does not already own.