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Bahrains Defense Forces: Air defense systems intercepted and destroyed multiple Iranian air attacks.September 2nd - my country has achieved a significant breakthrough in key technologies for high-end remote sensing dynamic imaging. Addressing the contradiction between lightweight design, low power consumption, and high dynamic imaging performance urgently needed in fields such as drones, satellites, and robots, the State Administration for Market Regulations Key Laboratory (Optical Sensing and Image Metrology) established at China Jiliang University, in collaboration with Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics and other institutions, conducted technical research to achieve centimeter-level ultra-high resolution 3D imaging under small-scale, low-power constraints. This solves the problem of accurate capture and analysis of scene information for industries such as low-altitude economy and intelligent vision.Reuters witnesses reported hearing explosions in Kyiv.Futures News, September 2nd: Domestic residential gas prices resumed their upward trend in the second half of August, and this upward momentum continued into early September. As of September 1st, the domestic residential gas price was 6197 yuan/ton, an increase of 430 yuan/ton compared to mid-August. Although domestic refinery output increased to some extent in August, overall supply remained slightly insufficient. Furthermore, the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz and restrictions on traffic flow in the Panama Canal led to insufficient international resource arrivals and high prices, with landed prices rising to around 6800 yuan/ton. Given the overall market context of insufficient supply and continuously rising costs, domestic liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) prices are expected to continue their strong performance in early September.September 2nd - Early this morning (September 2nd) local time, a spokesperson for Irans Hatem Anbia Central Command issued a statement saying that the US military recently conducted airstrikes on multiple military and non-military targets in southern Iran, causing civilian casualties. In response, Iranian armed forces launched attacks on US military bases in the region using missiles and drones. The statement said the attacks caused serious damage to US infrastructure, weapons, and equipment, and resulted in the deaths and injuries of a significant number of US commanders and soldiers. The statement indicated that military action against the US will continue until the US "regrets its actions." The statement also warned that if the US continues its military operations in the region, it will face a "heavier, broader, and more destructive" response; any country cooperating with the US military must bear the resulting "dangerous consequences."

Forecast for the Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls require confirmation from $1,902 and US inflation projections

Daniel Rogers

Jan 13, 2023 14:48

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is stable at $1,900 as bulls take a breather near the eight-month high early Friday morning, following the US inflation-inspired advance. In doing so, gold also reflects the market's skepticism ahead of additional data on US inflation conditions and consumer morale. In addition, recent concerns regarding US-China relations present additional obstacles for XAU/USD buyers.

 

According to anonymous sources cited by Reuters, the White House will discuss the recent ban on exports of chip-making gear to China during planned trips with Japanese and Dutch officials. The story also mentions that the White House Officials will not result in "immediate" commitments from China and Russia to implement comparable restrictions. The news renews the geopolitical conflict between the United States and China and supports the price of gold.

 

In a similar vein, the atmosphere before to China's trade data for December and the initial readings of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) for January will be crucial for short-term direction. In addition, the US 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations will be crucial.

 

Even though Wall Street closed with gains, S&P 500 Futures remain hesitant and 10-year US Treasury rates lick their wounds near 3.46 percent as of press time.

 

On Thursday, the US CPI matched predictions for December at 6.5% YoY, compared to 7.1% before. Moreover, CPI excluding food and energy confirmed the market consensus of 5.7% YoY, compared to previous readings of 6.0%. Notable is the fact that the CPI MoM marked its first negative result since June 2020 with a -0.1% figure for the specified month, compared to the 0.0% anticipated and 0.1% prior figure.

 

Following the release of the US CPI, the Fed Fund Futures pegged to the policy rate implied a nearly 100 percent possibility of a 0.25 basis point (bps) Fed rate hike in February, but the odds favoring a 50 basis point (bps) rate hike in the same month fell to 8.0%.

 

Patrick Harker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, was the first to signal easy rate hikes after the US CPI, which weighed on the US Dollar. Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, stated in the same vein that it "makes sense" for the Fed to steer more cautiously in its efforts to reduce inflation. However, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, stated that the most likely scenario is for inflation to remain above 2%, therefore the policy rate will need to be elevated for a longer period of time.

 

In the future, expected growth in China's trade reports for December should benefit gold purchasers, while expected improvement in US consumer confidence measures could test the XAU/upward USD's potential. Notably, the US 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations will be essential to monitor.