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According to the Financial Times, UK financial regulators are conducting an urgent assessment of the risks of Anthropics latest AI model.On April 12th, Maybank senior strategist Fiona Lim stated that while the market may be somewhat disappointed by the lack of progress in US-Iran negotiations, this was not entirely unexpected. The US dollar may gain further upward momentum at the opening on Monday. Some Asian currencies, particularly those of net energy importers such as the South Korean won, Philippine peso, Japanese yen, and Thai baht, began to weaken last Friday and may continue to face pressure this week.On April 12th, Saxo Banks Chief Investment Strategist, Charu Chanana, stated that the failure of the US-Iran negotiations was a setback. For the market, this means the previous easing of tensions is likely to fade. Oil prices may rebound, risk sentiment will be dampened again, and the Strait of Hormuz, even without a complete closure, will remain a real choke point risk. However, this is not surprising given the significant differences in the two sides positions on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issue. For the US dollar, this means some renewed safe-haven support, but unless there is a new military escalation, a broad-based surge is unlikely. Gold may benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not yet fully back to the worst-case inflation shock scenario.Kremlin: Russia is prepared to sell natural gas to Europe if there is still a surplus in supply to "alternative markets".Kremlin: Russia currently has only 17% to 18% of Donetsk Oblast in Ukraine out of control.

Fed Dovishness And Chinese Optimism May Boost Gold And Copper Prices in 2022

Skylar Williams

Nov 30, 2022 11:58

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Gold and copper prices were restrained on Wednesday in anticipation of a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, but were headed for their largest monthly increase of the year due to hints that future U.S. interest rate hikes are likely to be halted.


Powell is expected to provide additional information on the U.S. economy and monetary policy direction for the remainder of the year when he speaks at a Washington event later in the day. In addition, investors anticipate vital job data from the United States later this week.


According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's November meeting, a growing percentage of Fed members prefer slower rate hikes in the coming months. Fed speakers have cautioned, however, that sustained inflation is likely to keep U.S. interest rates elevated far into 2024.


The possibility of a smaller rate hike in December gave non-yielding assets such as gold, which had been rising for a month, some solace.


The spot price of gold stayed unchanged at $1,748.99 per ounce, while the futures price decreased 0.1% to $1,747.30 per ounce. On Tuesday, the value of both assets grew by around 1%, and it was anticipated that they would increase by nearly 7% in November - their largest monthly gain since May 2021.


In spite of this, the outlook for gold remains low, given U.S. inflation is well beyond the Fed's annual target. In reaction to prolonged inflation, the central bank may tighten monetary policy to cut prices, a scenario that is bad for gold.


Rising interest rates increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, resulting in a precipitous decrease in gold's price in 2018.


Copper prices fell slightly among industrial metals on Wednesday, but remained headed for their best month of 2022.


Copper futures fell 0.1% to $3.6405 a pound, following an increase of 0.7% in the previous session. However, it was anticipated that they would climb by almost 8% in November, their best month since the beginning of 2021.


Copper prices were mostly supported by speculations of loosening COVID-related restrictions in China, the largest copper importer in the world.


The world's top copper importer is facing increasing public ire for its response to the COVID-19 outbreak, prompting rumors that the government could be compelled to suspend restrictive measures.


Despite the fact that China is facing a daily spike in COVID-19 infections that is unprecedented, Beijing has given no such signal as of yet. This has resulted in the reintroduction of tight movement restrictions in several major cities over the past two months, which has had a significant impact on the Chinese economy.