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On April 10th, foreign exchange analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that given the markets focus on the US-Iran negotiations and the widespread perception that Marchs inflation rise was caused by the war, the market is likely to ignore todays data, as everything hinges on the outcome of the negotiations. We can see significant divergence in overall CPI forecasts, but core CPI forecasts are more concentrated. The Federal Reserve is currently maintaining a firmly neutral stance but has opened the door to further tightening in case inflation expectations begin to rise or the war lasts longer than expected. The market expects 7 basis points of easing room by the end of the year, implying that neither rate hikes nor cuts are anticipated in 2026.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.0 earthquake struck Zizhong County, Neijiang City, Sichuan Province at 19:07 on April 10, with a focal depth of 6 kilometers.According to CCTV: Li Qiang chaired a symposium with economic experts and entrepreneurs.April 10th - At a special press conference held on the morning of the 10th, titled "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan: Building the Hainan Free Trade Port to High Standards," it was announced that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the Hainan Free Trade Ports policies, including "zero tariffs," exemption from tariffs on processing value-added tax, and a "double 15%" income tax incentive, have cumulatively reduced taxes and fees and provided tax refunds exceeding 80 billion yuan for business entities.A Brazilian court rejected the governments request to continue exempting certain companies from oil export taxes.

Fears of Stagflation Caused by Tightening Policies Increase As Asian Stocks Fluctuate

Haiden Holmes

Jun 15, 2022 11:11

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Asia-Pacific stocks were mixed this morning, Wednesday. Ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting that is likely to provide strong tightening decisions, U.S. share markets continued to decline.


Nikkei 225 dropped 0.67 percent at 10:49 PM ET (2:49 AM GMT).


The KOSPI decreased by 1.21 percent.


Australia's ASX 200 index declined 0.38 percent.


Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 1.14 percent .


Shenzhen Component rose 0.49 percent and Shanghai Composite rose 0.90 percent.


China's industrial output climbed by 0.7% year-over-year in May, according to statistics released on Wednesday, which was marginally higher than market estimates. In April, a decrease of 2.9% was seen, whereas Investing.com had expected a decrease of 0.7%.


Nonetheless, as Beijing saw clusters of COVID-19 breakouts, the city's officials warned on Tuesday that the city was in a "race against time," heightening concerns that the reinstatement of harsh restrictions might harm the city's economy and global supply chain.


The S&P 500 finished down for the fifth consecutive day due to concerns that Fed measures to tighten monetary policy to calm raging inflation might lead to stagflation.


Investors are now betting on aggressive interest rate rises, such as 75 basis points from the Fed, which would be the largest increase since 1004


Steve Englander, director of global G10 FX research at Standard Chartered Bank, wrote in a note, "Inflation is front and center in the headlines and asset markets, and few are voicing worry about over tightening the monetary policy."

After their greatest decline in decades, Treasuries stabilized. Two-year rates recovered after reaching a level not seen since 2007, while 10-year yields retreated from around 3.5 percent.


Barbara Ann Bernard, chief investment officer of Wincrest Capital Ltd., told Bloomberg, "The sooner they are explicit about how rapidly they would increase interest rates and what amount of inflation they consider acceptable, the sooner the markets will settle down."


The Bank of England will announce its policy decision on Thursday, while the Bank of Japan will announce its decision on Friday.


Bitcoin's value on the cryptocurrency market steadied at $22,000.