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September 2nd - European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Bundesbank President Jean-Claude Nagel stated that the ECB will raise interest rates next week, but he remains cautious about whether further rate hikes will occur. In an interview published Wednesday, Nagel said, "The market currently expects a greater than 95% probability of a rate hike at our September meeting, and I think the market has a fairly accurate assessment of our potential response at this stage." However, Nagel did not commit to any subsequent actions. He stated, "I am cautiously refraining from providing any specific guidance on the policy direction after the September meeting. Oil and gas prices continue to fluctuate, financial markets are highly volatile, and uncertainty is very high. This is a troubling situation – from a monetary policy perspective as well. Inflation is still far from our medium-term target. According to our June forecast, only with higher interest rates can inflation fall back to 2% in the medium term."According to RIA Novosti, a Russian presidential aide said that Putin had no prior plans to hold talks with CIA Director Ratcliffe during his visit to Moscow.On September 2nd, the Iranian Army issued a statement saying that starting in the early hours of the day, as part of the 30th phase of Operation Lightning, the Iranian military deployed dozens of attack drones to strike radar systems and US military bases at the Al Dhafra and Minhad air bases in the United Arab Emirates. The Iranian military also stated that its Arash attack drones launched another large-scale attack on radar facilities and US personnel concentration areas at the Sheikh Issa air base in Bahrain. The Iranian military stated that this operation was a response to US attacks on "innocent civilians" and accused the US of committing "obvious war crimes" by attacking residential areas and wedding scenes. The Iranian military emphasized that the response to these actions would be "continuous, widespread, and large-scale."Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.36%, German DAX futures fell 0.46%, and UK FTSE 100 futures fell 0.37%.Israel Defense Forces: Israeli soldiers will continue operations in the region and will not allow terrorists in the area to advance and launch attacks against Israeli soldiers.

Eyes AUD/JPY 94.00 Prior to the release of China's GDP, the focus shifts to the RBA Minutes.

Larissa Barlow

Apr 18, 2022 09:43

The AUD/JPY pair is trading in a narrow range of 92.82-93.90 as investors anticipate the publication of China's National Bureau of Statistics' Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in Asia. The cross has been heading higher for an extended period, despite broader yen weakening.

 

It's worth mentioning that Australia is the world's largest exporter to China, and its better GDP figures will benefit the Australian dollar. The market consensus for China's annual GDP is 4.4 percent for the first quarter of CY22, down from 4% previously, while a preliminary estimate for China's annual industrial production is 4.5 percent, down dramatically from the previous number of 7.5 percent.

 

This week's big event will be the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) April monetary policy minutes. The minutes of the RBA will detail the mathematics underlying RBA Governor Philip Lowe's neutral stance. Additionally, information about Australian inflation will assist market participants in fine-tuning their strategies. Meanwhile, according to Reuters, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is anticipated to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy despite an upward revision to inflation expectations. Additionally, the agency claimed that the BOJ is projected to lift its fiscal 2022 inflation prediction to above 1.5 percent from the current 1.1 percent in April, while lowering its fiscal 2022 growth forecast from the current 3.8 percent.

AUD/JPY

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