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On July 13, French President Emmanuel Macron posted on social media on the 12th that France and the European Commission strongly opposed the US announcement that day to impose a 30% tariff on EU exports from August 1. Macron wrote that in the context of EU unity, the European Commission should demonstrate the EUs determination to defend its own interests. If Europe and the United States cannot reach an agreement before August 1, the EU should mobilize all tools, including anti-coercion mechanisms, to speed up the preparation of "credible countermeasures." France supports the European Commission and the United States to step up negotiations in order to reach an agreement acceptable to both sides before August 1.European Council President: The EU remains fully supportive of efforts to reach a fair agreement with the United States.July 12, Mathieu Savary, chief European strategist at BCA RESEARCH: Trumps strategy is to make outrageous demands, then let them fall through, and then once again try to win some last-minute concessions and then reach a trade deal. We remember a framework during Trumps first presidency, and thats whats happening now. It doesnt matter what is said now; what matters is where we will land. It is expected that the EU will eventually "have to accept a 10% tariff, but this is something the EU can actually deal with.The German Industry Association: The trade conflict between the EU and the US damages economic recovery and international trust. It calls on Germany, the EU and the US to seek a solution as soon as possible to avoid escalation.EU spokesperson: The United States notified the EU in advance of a letter regarding the imposition of a 30% tariff on EU goods from August 1.

European Open: Reality Check for Risk as China Data Misses

Cory Russell

May 17, 2022 10:43

Indices from Asia:

The ASX 200 index in Australia increased by 18.3 points (0.26 percent) to 7,093.40.


The Nikkei 225 index in Japan has gained 167.78 points (0.63 percent) and now trades at 26,595.43.


The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong has dropped 73.65 points (0.37%) and is now trading at 19,825.12.


China's A50 Index is presently trading at 13,144.84, down -151.19 points (-1.14 percent).


UK and Europe: FTSE 100 futures in the UK are now down -25 points (-0.34%), with the cash market expected to open at 7,393.15 points.


Futures on the Euro STOXX 50 are now down -13 points (-0.35%), with the cash market expected to open at 3,690.42.


The DAX futures in Germany are now down -40 points (-0.29%), with the cash market expected to open at 13,987.93.


Futures in the United States are now down -128 points (-0.4 percent )


Futures on the S&P 500 are now down 69 points (-0.56 percent )


Futures for the Nasdaq 100 are now down -21 points (-0.52 percent )


Form of data To say the least, China today was unimpressive. Because of the lockdowns, we knew it wouldn't be wonderful, yet retail sales, industrial production, output, and investment all fell in lockstep, while the unemployment rate climbed. This dampened mood in the area, with copper reversing early gains and Chinese shares, as well as the AUD/JPY and US futures, trading down.


The fact that there is a light at the end of the tunnel for lockdowns has helped to lessen the pain. Shanghai declared over the weekend that restaurants, stores, and shopping centers will be allowed to return today, and then disclosed that the goal date for reopening is June 1st.


Commodity currencies were once again lower, continuing a trend that began last week. The yen stepped up to the safe-haven plate and even outperformed the US dollar, with USD/JPY shattering a major hourly trendline.


While prices hit resistance around the 100-hour eMA, a bearish divergence emerged on the stochastic oscillator, and the trendline break revealed a rising wedge pattern is in action, targeting the lows at 127.50. For the time being, we'd like to fade into weakness below the 129.50 resistance zone, with the 128.30 support zone serving as a stop-loss.


On Friday, the FTSE 100 had its best day in two months as risk assets rallied ahead of the weekend. It started at the day's low and finished slightly below its 20-day eMA, just off the high.


Despite the day's gloomy end, the stochastic oscillator issued a buy signal on Wednesday. However, a false breach of 7200 on that day signified a swing low ahead of Friday's rebound, which saw it close above the 200-day eMA as well.


We'd like to look for dips inside Friday's range from here, particularly if prices can stay above the 7340–7350 support zone. If that's the case, 7500 is a good intermediate goal before 7600, while a break (or hourly close) below the 200-day eMA at 7269 invalidates our bullish stance.

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