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March 2nd - U.S. stock index futures opened lower on Monday, with Nasdaq and Dow futures falling more than 1%, and S&P 500 futures falling more than 0.9%.March 2 - International oil prices surged $8 at the open on Monday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran disrupted oil shipments. Brent crude reached a high of $82.37 per barrel, while WTI crude jumped to $75.33 per barrel.Goldman Sachs estimates that if the supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz lasts for six weeks, there is a time risk premium of $18 per barrel for crude oil prices; if only 50% of the supply is disrupted for one month, the premium will decrease to $4.According to a U.S. official, the United States and Israel have launched attacks on more than 2,000 targets inside Iran to date.1. Monday: ① Data: UK February Nationwide House Price Index (MoM); Switzerland January Retail Sales (YoY); France, Germany, Eurozone, and UK February Manufacturing PMI (Final); UK January Bank of England Mortgage Approvals; US February S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US February ISM Manufacturing PMI. ② Holiday: Seoul Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Japan January Unemployment Rate; Eurozone February CPI (YoY, Preliminary); Eurozone February CPI (MoM, Preliminary). ② Events: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks at a fintech seminar; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks. ③ Holiday: National Stock Exchange of India closed. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending February 27; Australias Q4 GDP annual rate; Chinas official manufacturing PMI, RatingDog manufacturing PMI, and RatingDog services PMI for February; Switzerlands CPI month-on-month rate for February; final readings of services PMI for February in France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK; Eurozones PPI month-on-month rate and unemployment rate for January; US ADP employment change for February; final reading of the S&P Global Services PMI for February; and US ISM non-manufacturing PMI for February. ② Events: The Fourth Session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) convenes in Beijing; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a 2026 FOMC voting member, delivers a speech; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem participates in a fireside chat. 4. Thursday: ① Data: French January industrial production month-on-month; Swiss February seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozone January retail sales month-on-month; US February Challenger job cuts; US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 28; US January import price index month-on-month; US February global supply chain stress index; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending February 27. ② Events: The Fourth Session of the 14th National Peoples Congress convenes in Beijing; Saudi Aramco announces its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month; the Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions. ③ Earnings reports: JD.com, Bilibili. 5. Friday: ① Data: UK February Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Eurozone Q4 GDP annual rate revised; Eurozone Q4 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter final; US February unemployment rate; US February seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls; US January retail sales month-on-month; US February average hourly earnings year-on-year; US February average hourly earnings month-on-month; US December business inventories month-on-month. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending March 6; Chinas foreign exchange reserves in February. ② Event: Speech by Cleveland Fed President Hamak, a 2026 FOMC voting member, on the safe-haven status of the US dollar.

E-mini S&P Pressured by Inflation, Economic Growth Worries

Cameron Murphy

Apr 27, 2022 10:35

Investors are waiting to see if earnings from Big Tech companies this week would offer the support needed to stop the current sell-off. June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading lower shortly after the cash market opened on Tuesday. Concerns about high inflation and weakening global economy are driving the price activity.


June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading at 4231.25, down 61.50 or 1.43 percent, at 14:17 GMT. The S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) is down $6.31, or 1.47 percent, to $422.20.


According to Refinitiv statistics, 77.5 percent of the 102 businesses in the S&P 500 that reported earnings through Monday exceeded analysts' profit projections. In a typical quarter, 66 percent of results exceeded expectations.

Earnings Reports

United Parcel Service Inc increased 1.9 percent after reporting an increase in quarterly adjusted earnings, while 3M Co rose 0.9 percent after exceeding profit expectations.


General Electric Co slumped 3.5 percent after expecting full-year earnings at the low end of its previous estimate, as the industrial behemoth struggles with supply chain interruptions and rising freight and raw materials costs.


Core Durable Goods Orders in the United States increased 1.1 percent, exceeding expectations and the previous reading. The Consumer Confidence survey from the Conference Board came in at 107.3, lower than the prediction of 108.5, but the preceding report was revised upward. Finally, new home sales came in at 763,000, which was lower than expected. The preceding month's figures were revised upwards.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The return of the decline will be signaled by a trade through 4195.25. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks through 4509.00.


4094.25 to 4631.00 is the short-term range. Resistance is found in the retracement zone of 4299.25 to 4362.75. Earlier in the session, the bottom or Fibonacci level of this range stopped the purchasing.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

Trader reaction to 4292.75 will influence the direction of the June E-mini S&P 500 Index into Tuesday's closing.

Reaction: Bearish

The presence of sellers will be shown by a persistent rise below 4292.75. If the minor bottom at 4195.25 is broken, it will imply that the selling pressure is increasing. This might cause a sell-off to begin, with the first negative target of 4129.50, followed by 4094.25.

Positive Reaction

The presence of buyers will be signaled by a prolonged advance over 4292.75. Overtaking the Fibonacci level at 4299.25 will signal a strengthening of the buying. This could prompt a move higher, with the primary 50 percent milestone at 4362.75 as the next big objective.