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March 11 – Due to persistent inflationary pressures, two major Australian banks expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive week. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac predicted on Wednesday that the RBA will raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% next week, in line with expectations from UBS and Deutsche Bank. NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld stated, “Given Australia’s relatively unfavorable inflation starting point and recent data confirming that the economy is running well above trend growth, the rationale for a rate hike in the near term is clear.” Westpac Chief Economist Luci Ellis said that the RBA’s belief that demand continues to exceed economic capacity and its willingness to address surging overall inflation to prevent a sustained rise in price expectations prompted her to change her forecast. Ellis stated, “There could be disagreements at next week’s meeting. Market participants should consider the possibility that the RBA might choose to wait until May to raise rates, but this is no longer our base case scenario.”March 11 (Kyodo News) – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryosuke Akazawa stated on Wednesday during a parliamentary committee meeting, in response to questions from lawmakers, that the Japanese government has not ruled out the possibility of releasing national oil reserves "on its own initiative," rather than as part of a coordinated action. He added, "We will take all possible measures to ensure a stable energy supply." As of the end of December, Japans total oil reserves were sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs for 254 days, of which 146 days worth were held by the government, 101 days worth were held by the private sector, and the remainder were stored jointly with oil-producing countries.Market news: The Saudi Foreign Minister spoke with the US Secretary of State to discuss Irans regional aggression.Piper Jaffray: Lowered its target price for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $240 to $210.According to Israeli media reports, Iran launched two missiles at Israel.

E-mini S&P Pressured by Inflation, Economic Growth Worries

Cameron Murphy

Apr 27, 2022 10:35

Investors are waiting to see if earnings from Big Tech companies this week would offer the support needed to stop the current sell-off. June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading lower shortly after the cash market opened on Tuesday. Concerns about high inflation and weakening global economy are driving the price activity.


June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading at 4231.25, down 61.50 or 1.43 percent, at 14:17 GMT. The S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) is down $6.31, or 1.47 percent, to $422.20.


According to Refinitiv statistics, 77.5 percent of the 102 businesses in the S&P 500 that reported earnings through Monday exceeded analysts' profit projections. In a typical quarter, 66 percent of results exceeded expectations.

Earnings Reports

United Parcel Service Inc increased 1.9 percent after reporting an increase in quarterly adjusted earnings, while 3M Co rose 0.9 percent after exceeding profit expectations.


General Electric Co slumped 3.5 percent after expecting full-year earnings at the low end of its previous estimate, as the industrial behemoth struggles with supply chain interruptions and rising freight and raw materials costs.


Core Durable Goods Orders in the United States increased 1.1 percent, exceeding expectations and the previous reading. The Consumer Confidence survey from the Conference Board came in at 107.3, lower than the prediction of 108.5, but the preceding report was revised upward. Finally, new home sales came in at 763,000, which was lower than expected. The preceding month's figures were revised upwards.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The return of the decline will be signaled by a trade through 4195.25. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks through 4509.00.


4094.25 to 4631.00 is the short-term range. Resistance is found in the retracement zone of 4299.25 to 4362.75. Earlier in the session, the bottom or Fibonacci level of this range stopped the purchasing.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

Trader reaction to 4292.75 will influence the direction of the June E-mini S&P 500 Index into Tuesday's closing.

Reaction: Bearish

The presence of sellers will be shown by a persistent rise below 4292.75. If the minor bottom at 4195.25 is broken, it will imply that the selling pressure is increasing. This might cause a sell-off to begin, with the first negative target of 4129.50, followed by 4094.25.

Positive Reaction

The presence of buyers will be signaled by a prolonged advance over 4292.75. Overtaking the Fibonacci level at 4299.25 will signal a strengthening of the buying. This could prompt a move higher, with the primary 50 percent milestone at 4362.75 as the next big objective.

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