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On January 12th, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that the threat of criminal prosecution against the Federal Reserve Chairman will exacerbate market concerns about the central banks independence, but he expects the Fed to continue making policy decisions based on economic data. Speaking at the Goldman Sachs Global Strategy Conference in 2026, Hatzius said, "Clearly, concerns about a potential blow to the Feds independence are increasing, and the latest news regarding the criminal investigation of Chairman Powell has further reinforced these concerns." He added, "I have no doubt that Powell will continue to make decisions based on economic data for the remainder of his term, and will not be swayed in any direction by pressure—whether its raising or lowering interest rates, it will follow data guidance."On January 12th, ABN Amro economist Roger Quedflich stated in a report that the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell could jeopardize the Feds prospects for interest rate cuts in the near term. He pointed out that the challenge to the Feds independence could prompt Fed governors to take a hardline stance, delaying rate cut decisions to "defend the Fed." The investigation concerns cost overruns in a Fed headquarters renovation project, which Quedflich believes is seen as a means to pressure the Fed chairman and force his resignation, thereby expanding government influence. He stated, "If the situation continues to escalate, rate cuts may be postponed."On January 12th, ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole stated in a report that the dollar faces a significant risk of decline after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the Fed had received a subpoena from the U.S. Department of Justice for overspending on its headquarters renovations. He pointed out that this move has reignited market concerns about the Feds independence and could trigger another "sell-America" trade. Pesole stated, "Any further signs of interference in the Feds independence will pose a considerable downside risk to the dollar."ECB Governing Council member Mueller: There is no reason for further interest rate cuts in the short term.January 12th - According to the "Beijing Cyberspace Administration," as of January 12, 2026, Beijing has added 3 new generative artificial intelligence services that have completed registration, bringing the total number of registered generative artificial intelligence services to 212.

E-mini NASDAQ-100: Trying to Form Bullish Reversal Bottom

Cameron Murphy

Apr 26, 2022 10:49


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Monday's mid-session E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are down, although seeking to recoup some of their early losses. Fears about China's COVID-19 breakouts frightened investors already anxious about quicker U.S. interest rate rises denting economic growth, so the tech-weighted index prolonged its steep selloff from last week.


June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are trading at 13384.50, up 31.00 or 0.23 percent, at 17:20 GMT. This is an increase from the previous low of 13184.00. The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) is up $0.75, or 0.23 percent, to $326.15.


Investors were particularly nervous at the outset of a week that would see megacap firms such as Google parent Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc, and Apple Inc report quarterly results.


In mergers and acquisitions news, Twitter Inc jumped 3.9 percent after Reuters reported that it was prepared to accept Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk's 'best and last' cash offer of $54.20 per share.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The continuation of the decline will be signaled by a trade through the intraday low of 13184.00. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks over 14298.00.


12942.50 to 15268.75 is the short-term range. The market is now trading on the weak side of its retracement zone, which is resistance from 13831.25 to 14105.75.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

Trader response to 13353.50 will influence the direction of the June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index entering Monday's closing.

Scenario that is bearish

The presence of sellers will be shown by a persistent rise below 13353.50. It will be a sign of weakness if the intraday low of 13184.00 is broken. Look for the selling to continue towards the March 15 major low around 12942.50 if this move develops adequate negative momentum.

Possibilities for Growth

The presence of buyers will be signaled by a persistent advance over 13353.50. Look for a late-session push towards the short-term retracement zone of 13831.25 – 14105.75 if this move creates enough upward momentum.

Notes on the Side

A daily closing price reversal bottom will be formed if the price closes above 13353.50. If this is verified, a minimum 2- to 3-day corrective rally might begin.

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