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February 16th - Some staunch gold bulls are unfazed by the historic pullback in the precious metal, still anticipating a renewed surge to unprecedented levels. In late January, New York gold futures prices briefly broke a record high of $5,600 per ounce, only to suffer an unprecedented plunge the following day. During this period, one or more investors began buying December-expiring call option spread contracts with strike prices of $15,000/$20,000 on the COMEX division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Even after gold prices consolidated around $5,000, this position continued to grow, now reaching approximately 11,000 contracts. "Its truly surprising to see so many deep out-of-the-money call option spread open interest after a technical pullback," said Akash Doshi, global head of gold and metals strategy at State Street Investment Management. "Some traders may see this as a cheap lottery opportunity."Market news: According to Bank of Americas latest foreign exchange and interest rate sentiment survey, market sentiment towards the US dollar in February was at its most negative level in 14 years. Currently, short positions in the US dollar have reached their highest level since January 2012.February 16 – Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated on February 16 local time that the Russian delegation will travel to Geneva on the evening of the 16th (Moscow time) to participate in the Geneva negotiations on the Ukraine issue, in accordance with the consensus reached during the meeting between Russian and US leaders Anchorage. Russia believes that any agreement reached on the Ukraine issue must be lasting and guarantee the elimination of the root causes of the conflict. He also pointed out that the main security threat to Russia at this stage comes from European countries holding a confrontational stance.February 16th - With the Federal Reserve poised to release a highly anticipated bank capital proposal related to Basel III, U.S. lending institutions may face new mortgage requirements. Michelle Bowman, the Federal Reserves chief banking regulator, stated that this new measure related to residential real estate will consider increasing the "risk sensitivity" of mortgage capital requirements on banks books. One approach is to use loan-to-value ratios to determine the applicable risk weights for residential real estate exposures, rather than using a uniform risk weight. "This change could better align capital requirements with actual risk, support on-balance-sheet lending by banks, and potentially reverse the trend of mortgage activity shifting to non-bank institutions over the past 15 years," Bowman said.The British government has abandoned its plan to cancel local council elections.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index (NQ) Futures Technical Analysis

Skylar Shaw

May 16, 2022 10:41

Late in the session on Friday, June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures were trading higher, putting the tech-weighted index in a position to end on a positive note, but still below for the week. The market action was chaotic throughout the time, with wild gyrations fueling volatility amid signals of peaking inflation and fears that the Federal Reserve might tighten policy too quickly.


The market was driven higher by rebounding megacap tech and tech-related growth firms. During the epidemic, when interest rates were touching historical lows and Fed monetary policy was supportive, these stocks lifted the main indexes to record highs, but they have been smashed for many months.


In other financial news, Twitter Inc shares fell 9.8% after Elon Musk tweeted that he has put the $44 billion cash acquisition proposal on hold while waiting for evidence on false accounts from the social media business. Tesla Inc, on the other hand, increased by 4.9 percent.

Swing Chart Every Day Technical Evaluation

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The return of the decline will be signaled by a transaction through 11689.00. The primary trend will turn to up if 13555.25 is crossed.


The small downward trend continues. The minor trend will be changed to up with a transaction through 12553.25. This will change the market's momentum upward.


The long-term retracement zone from 11671.25 to 10468.25 is the primary support on the downside.

A pivot at 12622.25 is the first objective and probable resistance on the upside.