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1. All three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.71%, the S&P 500 up 1.23%, and the Nasdaq up 1.86%. Nvidia rose nearly 3%, and Apple rose over 2%, leading the Dow. The Wind S7 Index rose 2.4%, with Tesla up over 4%, Google up over 3%, and Qualcomm up over 11%, reaching a new high since July 2024. Most Chinese concept stocks rose, with Daquan New Energy up over 14% and Xpeng Motors up over 6%. The temporary easing of international trade tensions boosted market confidence. This week, investors focused on the earnings reports of several tech giants and the Federal Reserves interest rate meeting. 2. All three major European stock indices closed slightly higher, with Germanys DAX up 0.28%, Frances CAC 40 up 0.16%, and the UKs FTSE 100 up 0.09%. The basic consensus reached in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations boosted market risk appetite. 3. U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield down 0.64 basis points to 3.482%, the 3-year Treasury yield down 1.40 basis points to 3.480%, the 5-year Treasury yield down 1.92 basis points to 3.595%, the 10-year Treasury yield down 3.46 basis points to 3.976%, and the 30-year Treasury yield down 5.02 basis points to 4.549%. Market expectations of a Fed rate cut, coupled with a lack of economic data due to the government shutdown, have intensified safe-haven demand. 4. International precious metal futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 3.40% to $3,997.00 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 3.61% to $46.83 per ounce. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have intensified, but easing international political tensions have reduced safe-haven demand. The increasing U.S. government debt burden provides long-term support for gold. 5. The main contract of U.S. oil closed up 0.08% at $61.55 per barrel; the main contract of Brent crude oil fell 0.25% to $65.04 per barrel.On October 28th, Pony.ai announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it plans to issue 41,955,700 shares (subject to the exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option and the Over-allotment Option) for its Hong Kong listing. Unless otherwise announced, the offer price will not exceed HK$180 per share. Trading of the shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to begin on November 6th (the same date as competitor WeRide).According to Japans Asahi Shimbun: Japan and South Korea are coordinating arrangements to hold the first summit meeting between Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and South Korean President Lee Jae-myung on October 30 during the APEC summit in South Korea.On October 28, WeRide announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it plans to issue 88,250,000 shares (subject to the exercise of the over-allotment option) in its Hong Kong listing. Unless otherwise announced, the offer price will not exceed HK$35 per share. The shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 6.On October 28, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated on October 27 local time that although the meeting between the Russian and US presidents, originally scheduled for Budapest, had been postponed, it would definitely take place there. Negotiations were still ongoing. Orbán also stated that if peace could be achieved in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, energy prices would fall. He stated that Hungary would have to fight to continue importing Russian oil and gas.

E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM) Futures Technical Analysis – Upside Momentum Can Build Over 33202

Alice Wang

Aug 11, 2022 12:14

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A government report showing slower-than-expected headline and core inflation in July led traders to reduce their bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates for a third consecutive time by a whopping 75 basis points at its meeting on September 21. As a result, September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are trading sharply higher shortly after the cash market opened on Wednesday.


September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are now trading at 33261, up 524 or +1.60% as of 14:24 GMT. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), up $4.76 or 1.45%, is now trading at $332.67.


Demand for riskier assets is fueled by inflation that is softer than anticipated.


Due to falling gasoline costs, consumer inflation in the United States did not increase in July compared to June, marking the smallest monthly inflation in more than two years.


The probability of a 75-basis-point hike in fund rates at the U.S. Federal Reserve's next meeting in September has dropped from 67.5% to 37.5% as a result of the weak inflation report.


The strongest performance on Wednesday is coming from stocks that are susceptible to falling interest rates. Goldman Sachs Group has increased by 3.13%. JPMorgan Chase is up 2.49%, while American Express is up 2.62%.


Chevron Corp., which is down 0.69% due to decreased crude oil prices, is the only company that loses out in this category.

Swing Chart Technical Analysis for the Day

The daily swing chart indicates that the overall trend is upward. The uptrend was confirmed by the trade through the last primary top at 33255. Passing through 32342 will turn the general trend downward.


Smaller trend is similarly upward. The little trend will turn downward if a deal is made through 32662. The downward momentum will change as a result.


35405 to 29639 is the primary range. The market is presently attempting to break above the 33202 level of its retracement zone. Support for the downside is a 50% level at 32522.

Swing chart technical forecast for the day

The path of the September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average into Wednesday's closing will depend on how traders respond to the Fibonacci level at 33202.

Positive Scenario

The presence of buyers will be shown by a prolonged advance over 33202. It will be clear that the purchasing is picking up steam if there is a sustained rise over the key high at 33255. Look for a short-term bounce into the May 5 peak at 34011 if this creates sufficient upward momentum.

Grizzly Situation

The presence of sellers will be shown by a persistent move below 33202. Look for a break through the minor pivot at 32805 if this creates sufficient downward momentum. The selling is expected to continue until the 50% barrier at 32522 if this fails.